Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adriese vs Brian Lignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ibe C.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Ibe C.
71' Event
Alessio M.

AI Match Summary

Brian Lignano in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brian Lignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adriese
15%
Draws
85%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brian Lignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brian Lignano lately — more wins on the board than Adriese.
  • Model gives Brian Lignano a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adriese Brian Lignano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.73 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Brian Lignano
0:4
Dec 20, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Adriese
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Brian Lignano
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Adriese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adriese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibe C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alessio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adriese 10 / 100
Brian Lignano 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adriese Brian Lignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brian Lignano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brian Lignano has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Adriese scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adriese VS Brian Lignano
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Adriese

(Home)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

Brian Lignano

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Mestre
1 : 4
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)