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Adriese vs Portogruaro Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nordio L.
49' Event
Gozzerini M.
88' Event
Montrone A.

AI Match Summary

Adriese in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adriese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adriese
15%
Draws
85%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portogruaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Portogruaro haven't matched Adriese's recent run of results.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Adriese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Adriese have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Adriese Clean Sheet 68%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adriese Portogruaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 0.73 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Portogruaro
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Adriese
0:3
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Portogruaro
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Adriese
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Adriese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adriese Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordio L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gozzerini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adriese 50 / 100
Portogruaro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adriese Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adriese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portogruaro conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Portogruaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Adriese's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Adriese VS Portogruaro
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adriese

(Home)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)