Sport Picks
Aduana Stars vs Karela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ghana
Premier League Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro 
Match Events
32'
32'
Sub
Adomako Boateng R. In: Regain B.
Out: Adomako Boateng R.
36'
36'
Amankona S.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Quansah J. In: Abdul B.
Out: Quansah J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Aduana Stars and Karela finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aduana Stars.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aduana Stars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Karela come out ahead of Aduana Stars on wins alone.
- Aduana Stars are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Aduana Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Karela Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aduana Stars | Karela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Karela
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Karela
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Karela vs Aduana Stars
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Karela vs Aduana Stars
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Karela
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aduana Stars Compare
Top Goalscorer Mohammed S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Karela Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahfuz N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aduana Stars 68 / 100
Karela 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aduana Stars Karela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aduana Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Aduana Stars has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Karela lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Aduana Stars's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Aduana Stars VS Karela
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aduana Stars
(Home) 04 Oct
Aduana Stars
2 : 1 Swedru All Blacks
27 Sept
Asante Kotoko
0 : 2 Aduana Stars
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1 Karela
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1 Samartex
06 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0 Aduana Stars
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Aduana Stars
2 : 1 Swedru All Blacks
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1 Karela
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1 Samartex
17 May
Aduana Stars
3 : 1 Young Apostles
03 May
Aduana Stars
0 : 0 Heart of Lions
Page 1 of 4
Karela
(Away) 01 Oct
Asante Kotoko
1 : 0 Karela
26 Sept
Karela
1 : 0 Hearts of Oak
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1 Karela
13 Sept
Karela
3 : 1 Bechem United
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1 Karela
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Asante Kotoko
1 : 0 Karela
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1 Karela
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1 Karela
10 May
Vision
3 : 0 Karela
06 May
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0 Karela
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Samartex | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Port City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Aduana Stars | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Holy Stars | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Hearts of Oak | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 8 |
| 7 | Heart of Lions | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Ashanti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Bechem United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Karela | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Vision | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 13 | Swedru All Blacks | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 14 | Debibi United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Berekum Chelsea | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 18 | Dreams FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 2 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
