Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEA Aracatuba vs Jabaquara

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Sat, Apr 4, 2026
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEA Aracatuba host Jabaquara in the Paulista A4. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Jabaquara have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while AEA Aracatuba have conceded 1.85 and scored 0.73. Past meetings favor AEA Aracatuba slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.50, favoring Jabaquara. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AEA Aracatuba
20%
Draws
80%
Jabaquara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jabaquara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jabaquara come out ahead of AEA Aracatuba on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jabaquara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 16%
Jabaquara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEA Aracatuba Jabaquara
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.73 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Paulista A4
AEA Aracatuba vs Jabaquara
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs AEA Aracatuba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
Jabaquara 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEA Aracatuba Jabaquara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jabaquara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jabaquara let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

AEA Aracatuba found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (33 games).

Jabaquara lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEA Aracatuba VS Jabaquara
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AEA Aracatuba

(Home)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 7

Jabaquara

(Away)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1
Comercial
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
21 Mar
Jabaquara
1 : 1
Taquaritinga
18 Mar
Penapolense
3 : 2
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)