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Aegir vs IR Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sigurdsson J.
35'
Stojanovic N.
52' Event
Adeyemo J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Aegir and IR Reykjavik finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aegir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Aegir
15%
Draws
76%
IR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IR Reykjavik come out ahead of Aegir on wins alone.
  • Model gives IR Reykjavik a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
IR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir IR Reykjavik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Aegir
3:2
May 27, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs IR Reykjavik
4:1
Aug 16, 2023 Division 2
Aegir vs IR Reykjavik
0:0
Jun 7, 2023 Division 2
IR Reykjavik vs Aegir
0:0
Sep 10, 2022 Division 2
Aegir vs IR Reykjavik
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeyemo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stojanovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

IR Reykjavik Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
IR Reykjavik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir IR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IR Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IR Reykjavik has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Aegir found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aegir stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS IR Reykjavik
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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IR Reykjavik

(Away)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
21 Aug
Grotta
1 : 3
IR Reykjavik
17 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 1
Njardvik
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)