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Aegir vs Leiknir Reykjavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Burknason B. In: Gunnarsson D.
Out: Burknason B.
46'
Sub
Mani Jonsson M. In: Thorbergsson K. A.
Out: Mani Jonsson M.
59'
Sub
Jonsson T. In: Hlifarsson K. S.
Out: Jonsson T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Aegir and Leiknir Reykjavik finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiknir Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Aegir
15%
Draws
73%
Leiknir Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiknir Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leiknir Reykjavik come out ahead of Aegir on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Leiknir Reykjavik's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Leiknir Reykjavik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Leiknir Reykjavik
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 1.36 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Aegir
6:1
Jun 5, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
0:3
Sep 16, 2023 Division 1
Aegir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
0:5
Jul 12, 2023 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Aegir
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halldorsson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Leiknir Reykjavik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Leiknir Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiknir Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aegir scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Leiknir Reykjavik conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Leiknir Reykjavik's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Leiknir Reykjavik
1.13 Goals Scored 2
4.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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Leiknir Reykjavik

(Away)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Leiknir Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)