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AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 AEK Arena, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Cabrera E.
20'
Bajic R.
29' Event
Bajic R.

AI Match Summary

AEK Larnaca in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
AEK Larnaca
11%
Draws
9%
Paralimni
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Paralimni haven't matched AEK Larnaca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AEK Larnaca's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Cyprus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AEK Larnaca have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 68%
Paralimni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Paralimni
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 26
Goals Scored 1 0.6
Goals Conceded 1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni
5:0
Oct 18, 2025 Cyprus League
Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca
0:2
Feb 14, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni
4:1
Jan 29, 2025 Cyprus Cup
Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca
0:3
Nov 9, 2024 Cyprus League
Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bajic R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paralimni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 86 / 100
Paralimni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Paralimni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paralimni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

AEK Larnaca's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Paralimni's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Paralimni
1 Goals Scored 0.6
1 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
13% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
23 Jul
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
10 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
AEK Larnaca
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
Helmond Sport
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
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Paralimni

(Away)
17 May
Krasava
0 : 0
Paralimni
09 May
Paralimni
1 : 3
Achnas
02 May
Anorthosis
2 : 0
Paralimni
25 Apr
Paralimni
1 : 2
Akritas Chloraka
17 Apr
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Paralimni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omonia26194363:1761
2AEK Larnaca26165549:2253
3Apollon Limassol26165536:2253
4Pafos26163753:2451
5APOEL26136745:2745
6Aris Limassol26127748:2643
7Omonia Aradippou261041223:3134
8AEL Limassol261031331:3833
9Anorthosis26711823:3332
10Krasava26841426:3628
11Ol. Nicosia266101022:3728
12Akritas Chloraka26751423:4826
13Achnas26721725:4423
14Paralimni2601255:671
Promotion - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)