Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija Tetovo

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 AEK Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Trumci A.
43'
Ivanovic D.
53'
Latifi L.

AI Match Summary

AEK Larnaca in this Conference League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AEK Larnaca
33%
Draws
40%
Shkendija Tetovo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca haven't matched Shkendija Tetovo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shkendija Tetovo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 19%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Shkendija Tetovo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2025 Conference League
AEK Larnaca vs Shkendija Tetovo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Angielski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 28 / 100
Shkendija Tetovo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Shkendija Tetovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK Larnaca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Shkendija Tetovo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

AEK Larnaca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Shkendija Tetovo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Strasbourg651011:516
2Rakow Czestochowa64209:214
3AEK641114:713
4Sparta Prague641110:313
5Rayo Vallecano641113:713
6Shakhtar641110:513
7Mainz64117:313
8AEK Larnaca63307:112
9Lausanne63216:311
10Crystal Palace631211:610
11Lech Poznan631212:810
12Samsunspor631210:610
13Celje63128:710
14AZ Alkmaar63127:710
15Fiorentina63038:59
16Rijeka62315:29
17Jagiellonia62315:49
18Omonia62225:48
19Noah62226:78
20Drita62224:88
21KuPS61416:57
22Shkendija Tetovo62134:57
23Zrinjski62138:107
24Sigma Olomouc62137:97
25Univ. Craiova62136:87
26Lincoln Red Imps62137:157
27Dynamo Kyiv62049:96
28Legia62048:86
29Slovan Bratislava62045:96
30Breidablik61236:115
31Shamrock Rovers61147:134
32Hacken60335:83
33Hamrun61054:113
34Shelbourne60240:72
35Aberdeen60243:142
36Rapid Vienna60153:141