Sport Picks
AEK vs Asteras Tripolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Greece
Greek Cup Allwyn Arena, Athens 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Greek Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. AEK have averaged 2.31 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Asteras Tripolis's 1.21 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor AEK slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back AEK to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Asteras Tripolis.
- Model gives AEK a 42% chance of winning this.
- AEK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AEK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and AEK have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEK | Asteras Tripolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AEK scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Asteras Tripolis conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
AEK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AEK
(Home)Asteras Tripolis
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Aris | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | PAOK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Niki Volos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 11 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Volos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 13 | Marko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 15 | Chrisoupolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 16 | Panserraikos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
