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AEK vs Athens Kallithea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Vitalis M.
48' Event
Gacinovic M.
51' Event
Gacinovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AEK and Athens Kallithea finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AEK
20%
Draws
44%
Athens Kallithea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athens Kallithea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • AEK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AEK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%
Athens Kallithea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Athens Kallithea
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK vs Athens Kallithea
4:0
Jan 12, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Athens Kallithea
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Athens Kallithea vs AEK
0:0
Nov 30, 2017 Greek Cup
Athens Kallithea vs AEK
2:3
Mar 29, 2015 Football League - Group 1
Athens Kallithea vs AEK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Gacinovic M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vitalis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Athens Kallithea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 36 / 100
Athens Kallithea 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Athens Kallithea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athens Kallithea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AEK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Athens Kallithea has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Athens Kallithea
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
24 Oct
AEK
5 : 0
Panetolikos
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK
14 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 1
AEK
10 Oct
AEK
3 : 0
OFI Crete
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
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Athens Kallithea

(Away)
24 Oct
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
18 Oct
Chrisoupolis
0 : 0
Athens Kallithea
14 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus B
0 : 1
Athens Kallithea
10 Oct
Athens Kallithea
1 : 0
Panthrakikos
28 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis B
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