Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Allwyn Arena, Athens
AEK Logo

AEK

3 - 0
FT
PAOK Logo

PAOK

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sanchez J.
30'
Gacinovic M.
36' Event
Kedziora T.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between AEK and PAOK finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AEK
33%
Draws
27%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on AEK taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK PAOK
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs AEK
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Super League
AEK vs PAOK
3:0
Feb 15, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs AEK
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
AEK vs PAOK
0:2
May 11, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs AEK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pineda O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

PAOK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 50 / 100
PAOK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

PAOK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

AEK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS PAOK
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
02 Aug
AEK
3 : 0
St. Truiden
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2
Samsunspor
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
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PAOK

(Away)
30 Jul
PAOK
2 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 32 21 9 2 57:20 72
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 32 19 9 4 51:17 66
3 PAOK 32 18 10 4 59:25 64
4 Panathinaikos 32 14 10 8 47:33 52
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)