Sport Picks
AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Greece
Greek Cup AEL FC Arena, Larissa 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Kanellopoulos G. In: Athanasiou N.
Out: Kanellopoulos G.
46'
46'
Sub
Theodosoulakis I. In: Nuss T.
Out: Theodosoulakis I.
50'
50'
Nuss T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Larissa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and OFI Crete come out ahead of AEL Larissa on wins alone.
- Win probability leans AEL Larissa's way, sitting at 40%.
- OFI Crete arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor OFI Crete, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 68%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEL Larissa | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2026 Greek Cup
AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Super League
OFI Crete vs AEL Larissa
3:0
Nov 24, 2025 Super League
AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete
1:2
Apr 24, 2021 Super League
AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete
0:1
Mar 6, 2021 Super League
OFI Crete vs AEL Larissa
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEL Larissa Compare
Top Goalscorer Nitsos N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
OFI Crete Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AEL Larissa 50 / 100
OFI Crete 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AEL Larissa OFI Crete
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AEL Larissa found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
OFI Crete has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
AEL Larissa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AEL Larissa VS OFI Crete
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AEL Larissa
(Home) 24 Oct
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1 AEL Larissa
18 Oct
AEL Larissa
0 : 0 Panserraikos
11 Oct
Marko
1 : 0 AEL Larissa
03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2 AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0 PAOK B
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
AEL Larissa
0 : 0 Panserraikos
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0 PAOK B
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0 Zakynthos
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1 Karditsa
02 Sept
AEL Larissa
0 : 4 Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 3
OFI Crete
(Away) 25 Oct
OFI Crete
2 : 1 PAOK
22 Oct
OFI Crete
0 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
18 Oct
Kalamata
4 : 3 OFI Crete
15 Oct
Rennes
2 : 1 OFI Crete
10 Oct
AEK
3 : 0 OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Kalamata
4 : 3 OFI Crete
15 Oct
Rennes
2 : 1 OFI Crete
10 Oct
AEK
3 : 0 OFI Crete
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1 OFI Crete
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0 OFI Crete
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Aris | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | PAOK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Niki Volos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 11 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Volos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 13 | Marko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 15 | Chrisoupolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 16 | Panserraikos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
