Sport Picks
AEL Limassol vs Aris Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Cyprus
Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi 
AI Match Summary
AEL Limassol host Aris Limassol in the Cyprus League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Aris Limassol have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while AEL Limassol have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor AEL Limassol slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.56) back AEL Limassol to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aris Limassol haven't matched AEL Limassol's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans AEL Limassol's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEL Limassol | Aris Limassol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AEL Limassol scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Aris Limassol conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
AEL Limassol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AEL Limassol
(Home)Aris Limassol
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AEL Limassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Omonia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 4 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 6 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Omonia 29th May | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 5 |
| 8 | Aris Limassol | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | APOEL | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Ol. Nicosia | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 4 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
