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AEL Limassol vs Iraklis Yerolakkou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Cyprus Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Iraklis Yerolakkou have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while AEL Limassol have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.42. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.05 xG vs 0.86) point toward AEL Limassol. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
AEL Limassol
20%
Draws
24%
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AEL Limassol come out ahead of Iraklis Yerolakkou on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AEL Limassol's way, sitting at 40%.
  • AEL Limassol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 20%
Iraklis Yerolakkou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Limassol Iraklis Yerolakkou
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 13
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.42 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Limassol 40 / 100
Iraklis Yerolakkou 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Limassol Iraklis Yerolakkou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AEL Limassol scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Iraklis Yerolakkou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: AEL Limassol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Iraklis Yerolakkou registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Limassol VS Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.5 Goals Scored 0.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Limassol

(Home)
11 Oct
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Omonia 29th May
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
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Iraklis Yerolakkou

(Away)
10 Oct
ASIL Lysi
2 : 0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
18 Sept
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1 : 1
Ayia Napa
12 Sept
Halkanoras
0 : 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou
25 Apr
Halkanoras
0 : 0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
21 Apr
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0 : 2
Apea Akrotiriou
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AEK Larnaca -
Akritas Chloraka -
Omonia 29th May -
Polemidion -
Doxa -
Ol. Nicosia -
Kitiou -
Krasava -
Aris Limassol -
Achnas -
Omonia Aradippou -
Digenis Akritas -
AEL Limassol -
Iraklis Yerolakkou -
Nea Salamis -
Apea Akrotiriou -
Karmiotissa -
Ermis -
APOEL -
Halkanoras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -