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Aerostar vs Luceafarul Mihai

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2008/2009 game between Aerostar and Luceafarul Mihai finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aerostar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aerostar
6%
Draws
4%
Luceafarul Mihai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aerostar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aerostar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aerostar have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 17%
Luceafarul Mihai Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aerostar Luceafarul Mihai
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 19 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Luceafarul Mihai
5:2
Oct 9, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Luceafarul Mihai vs Aerostar
2:2
May 5, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Luceafarul Mihai vs Aerostar
0:3
Oct 28, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Luceafarul Mihai
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aerostar 84 / 100
Luceafarul Mihai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aerostar Luceafarul Mihai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luceafarul Mihai let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Aerostar scored in 76% of their last 42 games.

Aerostar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aerostar VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSM Ramnicu Sarat34282472:1286
2Otelul 234235697:2974
3FC Pambac Bacau34235672:3674
4CSM Focsani341710771:3661
5Panciu34178950:2859
6Roman341771045:2558
7Aerostar341761157:2657
8Voluntari341581153:3353
9Foresta Suceava341491154:3251
10Poli Iasi B341551456:5250
11CSM Pascani341341739:6143
12Ozana Targu Neamt3410101439:5140
13Willy Bacau341161759:6039
14Ceahlaul II341032147:7033
15Raraul Campulung34862025:12430
16FC Bacau 232382119:6817
17Barlad32522517:6917
18Luceafarul Mihai32342511:7113