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Aetos Loutron vs Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Sun, Mar 28, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aetos Loutron play Panelefsiniakos F.C. in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aetos Loutron averaged 1 goals scored and 2.15 conceded. Panelefsiniakos F.C. averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Aetos Loutron won 0, Panelefsiniakos F.C. won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2021 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Aetos Loutron and 0.80 for Panelefsiniakos F.C.. This points to a Panelefsiniakos F.C. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aetos Loutron
15%
Draws
48%
Panelefsiniakos F.C.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Aetos Loutron picked up more points recently compared to Panelefsiniakos F.C..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Aetos Loutron Clean Sheet 26%
Panelefsiniakos F.C. Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aetos Loutron Panelefsiniakos F.C.
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.15 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Panelefsiniakos F.C. vs Aetos Loutron
3:1
Mar 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Aetos Loutron vs Panelefsiniakos F.C.
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aetos Loutron 39 / 100
Panelefsiniakos F.C. 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aetos Loutron Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Panelefsiniakos F.C. or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aetos Loutron attacking → ← attacking Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aetos Loutron scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Panelefsiniakos F.C. let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Aetos Loutron went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Panelefsiniakos F.C. lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 32
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thyella Diastavroseos1174024:625
2Aiolikos FC1181217:625
3Pyliou1161413:819
4Aias1153315:818
5Karavas1153316:1018
6Panelefsiniakos F.C.1151520:1416
7Kyanos Astir Varis1144318:1016
8Keratsini1142511:1314
9AO Akratitos1133512:1612
10Aetos Loutron1125411:2011
11Mikrasiatiki111375:216
12Pythagoras Kontakaiikon1102912:422