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Aetos Varvaras vs Ethnikos Giannitsa

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021
Sat, Mar 13, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aetos Varvaras host Ethnikos Giannitsa in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Aetos Varvaras at 0.68 goals for, 2.71 against; Ethnikos Giannitsa at 1.13 for, 1.87 against. Past meetings favor Ethnikos Giannitsa slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2021, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 2.19, favoring Ethnikos Giannitsa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aetos Varvaras
15%
Draws
85%
Ethnikos Giannitsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Giannitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aetos Varvaras have won more games recently than Ethnikos Giannitsa.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ethnikos Giannitsa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aetos Varvaras Clean Sheet 10%
Ethnikos Giannitsa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aetos Varvaras Ethnikos Giannitsa
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 5 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.68 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa vs Aetos Varvaras
1:0
Mar 13, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Aetos Varvaras vs Ethnikos Giannitsa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aetos Varvaras 10 / 100
Ethnikos Giannitsa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aetos Varvaras Ethnikos Giannitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Giannitsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Giannitsa let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Ethnikos Giannitsa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Aetos Varvaras scored in 42% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aetos Varvaras VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aetos Varvaras

(Home)
28 Apr
Doxa Dramas
5 : 1
Aetos Varvaras
24 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
1 : 4
Poseidonas Michanionas
20 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
0 : 5
Panthrakikos
14 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
2 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
07 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
2 : 3
Orestis Orestiadas
Page 1 of 7

Ethnikos Giannitsa

(Away)
05 Jun
A. Asteras
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
30 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 1
Niki Agkathia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
16 May
Nea Kallikrateia
4 : 3
Ethnikos Giannitsa
12 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 14 12 2 0 27:6 38
2 Keravnos Anchelochori 14 8 2 4 23:15 26
3 Thermaikos FC 14 8 1 5 24:18 25
4 A. Asteras 14 8 1 5 23:21 25
5 Makedonikos Neapolis 14 6 6 2 27:10 24
6 Anagennisi Plagia 14 6 4 4 20:12 22
7 AS Giannitsa 14 7 1 6 23:15 22
8 M. Alexandros Trikala 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
9 Edessaikos 14 6 3 5 16:19 21
10 Niki Agkathia 14 6 2 6 15:16 20
11 Nea Kallikrateia 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
12 Aetos Varvaras 14 4 2 8 21:27 14
13 Ethnikos Giannitsa 14 3 2 9 17:26 11
14 PAO Koufalion 14 1 5 8 8:22 8
15 PAOK Alexandreia 14 1 1 12 11:45 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)