Sport Picks
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
Albania
Albanian Cup 2025/2026 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani 
Match Events
12'
12'
Gruda I.
14'
14'
Bakayoko S.
28'
28'
Sota E.
AI Match Summary
KF Egnatia in this Albanian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KF Egnatia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to KF Egnatia lately — more wins on the board than AF Elbasani.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on KF Egnatia taking it.
- KF Egnatia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor KF Egnatia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AF Elbasani | KF Egnatia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
2:1
May 17, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:4
Apr 22, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani
1:1
Mar 20, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AF Elbasani Compare
Top Goalscorer Musta E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
KF Egnatia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gruda I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AF Elbasani 18 / 100
KF Egnatia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AF Elbasani KF Egnatia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KF Egnatia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AF Elbasani scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
KF Egnatia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: AF Elbasani remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AF Elbasani VS KF Egnatia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AF Elbasani
(Home) 20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2 AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1 AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1 Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1 AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1 Vllaznia
06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3 Partizani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1 BATE
01 Jul
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 Petrovac
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KF Egnatia
(Away) 20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Partizani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Vora
1 : 3 KF Egnatia
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
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13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
31 Aug
Vora
1 : 3 KF Egnatia
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
04 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 KF Egnatia
28 Jul
Celje
3 : 2 KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Sopoti Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2
