Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AF Elbasani vs KF Tirana

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Myslovic P.
45'
Kasa A.
50' Event
Haxhiu R.

AI Match Summary

KF Tirana in this Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored KF Tirana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AF Elbasani
35%
Draws
30%
KF Tirana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • KF Tirana have won more games recently than AF Elbasani.
  • Model gives AF Elbasani a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 15%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Elbasani KF Tirana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs AF Elbasani
2:2
May 10, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Tirana
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs AF Elbasani
0:1
Dec 24, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Tirana
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs AF Elbasani
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Elbasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

KF Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Myslovic P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haxhiu R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Elbasani 35 / 100
KF Tirana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Elbasani KF Tirana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

KF Tirana has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

AF Elbasani went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AF Elbasani VS KF Tirana
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Elbasani

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
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KF Tirana

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
06 Sept
KF Tirana
4 : 0
Vora
30 Aug
Teuta
3 : 1
KF Tirana
23 Aug
KF Egnatia
3 : 0
KF Tirana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vllaznia 36 18 9 9 42:27 63
2 AF Elbasani 36 17 11 8 48:37 62
3 KF Egnatia 36 16 9 11 42:34 57
4 Dinamo City 36 12 13 11 43:33 49
5 Partizani 36 13 9 14 38:48 48
6 KF Tirana 36 11 11 14 36:46 44
7 Vora 36 10 12 14 39:40 42
8 Teuta 36 9 15 12 32:37 42
9 Bylis 36 10 11 15 38:50 41
10 Flamurtari 36 8 12 16 39:45 36
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Final Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Main)