Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFA Olaine vs Skanste

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Pavlenko E.
50'
Rafalskis M.
50' Event
Cernovs K.

AI Match Summary

AFA Olaine in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFA Olaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AFA Olaine
20%
Draws
40%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skanste lately — more wins on the board than AFA Olaine.
  • Model gives Skanste a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 17%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFA Olaine Skanste
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Skanste
3:0
Jun 14, 2025 1. Liga
Skanste vs AFA Olaine
2:3
Nov 2, 2024 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Skanste
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 1. Liga
Skanste vs AFA Olaine
3:2
Aug 5, 2023 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Skanste
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlenko E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cernovs K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Skanste Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFA Olaine 10 / 100
Skanste 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFA Olaine Skanste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFA Olaine scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Skanste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: AFA Olaine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skanste
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFA Olaine

(Home)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 6

Skanste

(Away)
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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