Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Afan Lido in this FA Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afan Lido
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Afan Lido have won more games recently than Caerleon.
- Afan Lido are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Afan Lido have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Afan Lido, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 16%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerleon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 34 |
| Wins | 17 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Afan Lido vs Caerleon
2:0
Feb 6, 2010 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Caerleon
3:0
Oct 10, 2009 Division 1
Caerleon vs Afan Lido
3:0
Feb 14, 2009 Division 1
Caerleon vs Afan Lido
2:2
Oct 18, 2008 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Caerleon
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Afan Lido 84 / 100
Caerleon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Afan Lido Caerleon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerleon let in goals in 97% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Afan Lido scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.
Afan Lido went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Afan Lido VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Afan Lido
(Home) 25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 8
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5 Aberystwyth
Page 1 of 4
Caerleon
(Away) 19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1 Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0 Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1 Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2 Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1 Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0 Caerleon
27 Apr
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Caerleon
20 Apr
AFC Porth
3 : 0 Caerleon
06 Apr
Goytre Utd
2 : 1 Caerleon
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Cefn Albion 3
Conwy Borough 5
Aberdare Town 3
Cwmbach Royal Stars 0
Briton Ferry 2
Barry Town 3
Cefn Druids 4
Gresford 0
Bow Street 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 4
Carno FC 0
Berriew FC 1
Rhostyllen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llantwit Fardre 0
Pontypridd United 0
Penybont 2
Garden Village 2
Rhayader 1
Ton Pentre 0
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 1
Knighton Town 2
Caerleon 2
Treharris Athletic 1
Butetown FC 1
Afan Lido 5
Buckley 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 0
Gwalchmai 0
Mold Alexandra 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 3
Corwen 2
Hawarden Rangers 0
Llanfair United 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli 6
Panteg 3
Llwydcoed 0
Cambrian United 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Aberaeron 0
Risca United 2
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Goytre Utd 4
Monmouth 2
Undy 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 2
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Town 1
Dinas Powys 4
Llandudno Junction 6
Caersws FC 1
Llanrug 2
Caernarfon 3
Penrhyncoch 5
Aberffraw 0
Waterloo Rovers 1
Trearddur Bay 7
West End 3
Treowen 2
Llandrindod 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 5
Prestatyn Sports 0
Pentraeth 0
Holyhead 8
Guilsfield 4
Glantraeth FC 2
Queens Park 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Ebbw Vale F.C. 1
Taffs Well 1
Cwmamman United 2
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/32-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 4
Conwy Borough 1
Aberdare Town 2
Barry Town 7
Cefn Druids 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 2
Rhostyllen 0
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Penybont 2
Garden Village 1
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 6
Knighton Town 3
Caerleon 0
Afan Lido 2
Buckley 1
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 5
Llanfair United 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
Llanelli 0
Cambrian United 2
Brecon Corinthians 3
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Goytre Utd 1
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Dinas Powys 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 4
Trearddur Bay 0
West End 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Holyhead 4
Guilsfield 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Cwmamman United 4
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/16-finals
TNS 3
Aberystwyth 0
Denbigh 1
Barry Town 6
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 0
Flint Town 0
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
STM Sports 0
Holywell Town FC 0
Afan Lido 1
Buckley 1
Llandudno FC 0
Prestatyn 0
Connahs Q. 3
Port Talbot 2
Cambrian United 1
Brecon Corinthians 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Caernarfon 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Bangor City 1
Holyhead 2
Guilsfield 3
Cwmamman United 0
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
1/8-finals
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Cefn Druids 0
Newtown 6
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Afan Lido 0
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Port Talbot 3
Caerau Ely 0
Goytre AFC 3
Cwmbran Celtic 5
Bala 3
Holyhead 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Quarter-finals
TNS 1
Newtown 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 2
Port Talbot 2
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Bala 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Semi-finals
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Final
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
