Sport Picks
Afan Lido vs Caerphilly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Afan Lido host Caerphilly in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Afan Lido have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.78 conceded recently, against Caerphilly's 1.41 scored and 2 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.88, favoring Afan Lido. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Afan Lido have won more games recently than Caerphilly.
- Model gives Afan Lido a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerphilly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 17 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Caerphilly conceded in 82% of 17 recent games.
Afan Lido scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Solid form: Afan Lido remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Caerphilly lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Afan Lido
(Home)Caerphilly
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:21 | 21 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9:36 | 2 |
