Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afan Lido vs Pontardawe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Samuel L.
Penalty Missed
64' Event
Pascoe J.

AI Match Summary

Afan Lido in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Afan Lido
20%
Draws
44%
Pontardawe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontardawe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afan Lido lately — more wins on the board than Pontardawe.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 11%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Pontardawe
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Pontardawe
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Afan Lido
2:3
Sep 22, 2023 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Pontardawe
2:3
Feb 11, 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Afan Lido
1:2
Nov 5, 2022 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Pontardawe
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascoe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Pontardawe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 35 / 100
Pontardawe 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Pontardawe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontardawe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontardawe let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Afan Lido found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Afan Lido has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS Pontardawe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7

Pontardawe

(Away)
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
10 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
11 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
12 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
14 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)