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AFC Dunstable vs Bedford

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Kirkpatrick L.

AI Match Summary

AFC Dunstable in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Dunstable.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AFC Dunstable
15%
Draws
57%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC Dunstable lately — more wins on the board than Bedford.
  • Model gives Bedford a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AFC Dunstable Clean Sheet 19%
Bedford Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Dunstable Bedford
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
AFC Dunstable vs Bedford
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Dunstable Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirkpatrick L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Bedford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Dunstable 28 / 100
Bedford 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Dunstable Bedford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Dunstable scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Bedford let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

AFC Dunstable has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bedford
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Dunstable

(Home)
04 Oct
AFC Dunstable
1 : 3
Folkestone
19 Sept
Enfield FC
1 : 3
AFC Dunstable
06 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1
AFC Dunstable
08 Jul
Neots
4 : 2
AFC Dunstable
15 Sept
Biggleswade FC
2 : 1
AFC Dunstable
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Bedford

(Away)
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1
Bedford
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1
Spennymoor
22 Aug
Southport
4 : 1
Bedford
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