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AFC Emley vs Curzon Ashton

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
De Girolamo D.
37' Event
Barks C.
90' Event
Holmes B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between AFC Emley and Curzon Ashton finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Emley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
AFC Emley
20%
Draws
56%
Curzon Ashton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Curzon Ashton haven't matched AFC Emley's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Curzon Ashton's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AFC Emley Clean Sheet 13%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Emley Curzon Ashton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 NPL Premier Division
AFC Emley vs Curzon Ashton
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Emley Compare

Top Goalscorer De Girolamo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barks C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Curzon Ashton Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Emley 10 / 100
Curzon Ashton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Emley Curzon Ashton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curzon Ashton has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: AFC Emley scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AFC Emley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Emley VS Curzon Ashton
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Emley

(Home)
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
09 Sept
Bishop Auckland
0 : 2
AFC Emley
06 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 1
Bishop Auckland
31 Aug
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Guiseley
29 Aug
Warrington Town
2 : 2
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6

Curzon Ashton

(Away)
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2
Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2
Bradford PA
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Ashton United
28 Aug
Cleethorpes
1 : 3
Curzon Ashton
25 Aug
Warrington Town
0 : 4
Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Bamber Bridge 9 2 3 4 12:22 9
18 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
19 Leek Town 9 1 3 5 17:19 6
20 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
21 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
22 Stockton 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
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