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AFC Emley vs Dunston

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with AFC Emley advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
AFC Emley
20%
Draws
56%
Dunston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Emley haven't matched Dunston's recent run of results.
  • Dunston are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Dunston arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AFC Emley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AFC Emley Clean Sheet 20%
Dunston Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Emley Dunston
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2024 FA Trophy
AFC Emley vs Dunston
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Emley 20 / 100
Dunston 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Emley Dunston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Emley found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Dunston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: AFC Emley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Emley VS Dunston
0.88 Goals Scored 1.17
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Emley

(Home)
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
09 Sept
Bishop Auckland
0 : 2
AFC Emley
06 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 1
Bishop Auckland
31 Aug
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Guiseley
29 Aug
Warrington Town
2 : 2
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6

Dunston

(Away)
12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1
Dunston
05 Sept
Vauxhall
0 : 2
Dunston
29 Aug
Grimsby Borough
0 : 1
Dunston
15 Nov
South Shields
6 : 2
Dunston
24 Oct
Dunston
1 : 0
Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Workington -
TBD -
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Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 3
Mossley AFC 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley 2
Dunston 0
Vauxhall 1
Newton Aycliffe 2
Stalybridge 1
Ossett United 2
Witton Albion 1
Bradford PA 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Liversedge 1
Avro 2
FC Congleton Town 1
Wythenshawe FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Bridlington Town 0
Trafford 1
Consett 1
Atherton Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Garforth 0
Wythenshawe Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Widnes FC 0
TBD -
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Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
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Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
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United of Manchester -
Brighouse Town 1
Clitheroe 2
Heaton Stannington 1
North Ferriby FC 0
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Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
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Matlock -
Kettering -
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Gainsborough -
Stamford -
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Anstey Nomads 6
Shepshed 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Newcastle Town 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Belper Town 2
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Sheffield FC 2
Loughborough Students 3
Worcester 1
Hinckley LR 4
Hednesford 4
Quorn 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Chasetown 3
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Bromsgrove -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Bishop Auckland 1
Nantwich 2
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Harborough -
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Basford Utd. -
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Racing Club Warwick 2
Hanley Town 3
Bedworth United 1
Sherwood Colliery 3
Barwell -
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Telford -
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Walsall Wood 2
Stafford 1
Darlaston Town (1874) 0
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
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Grantham Town 0
Coleshill Town 2
Rugby 0
Carlton Town 1
Worksop -
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St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
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Mickleover -
Spalding United -
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Alvechurch -
Sheppey United 2
Ramsgate 3
Raynes Park Vale 4
Beckenham Town 3
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Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
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Walthamstow FC 1
Real Bedford 2
Leighton Town 1
Stotfold 0
Sittingbourne 2
Sutton Common Rovers 0
Kingstonian 3
Eastbourne Town 0
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Bognor Regis -
Potters -
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Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 6
Phoenix Sports 0
Croydon Athletic 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Westfield 4
Metropolitan Police 0
Steyning Town 0
Thame United 5
Deal Town 0
Ashford United 1
Hartley Wintney 2
East Grinstead Town 1
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Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Basildon 2
Enfield FC 2
Biggleswade FC 0
Wroxham 1
Aylesbury United 0
Redbridge 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
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AFC Dunstable 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Tilbury 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Sudbury -
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Ware 2
Newmarket 3
Cambridge City 1
Kings Langley 0
Sevenoaks 3
Harrow Borough 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Leatherhead 1
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Hastings -
Folkestone -
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Ascot United 5
Merstham 0
Hanworth Villa 0
Margate 5
Lewes -
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Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
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Horsham FC -
Bedford -
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Hendon -
Heybridge 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Wellingborough 2
Corby 3
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Canvey Island -
Farnham 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Badshot Lea 0
Broadbridge Heath 4
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Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
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Cheshunt -
Mildenhall 2
Brightlingsea 4
Brentwood 3
FC Witham Town 2
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Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
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Royston Town -
Marlow -
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Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 3
Sporting Bengal 2
Southall FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Leverstock Green 1
Bury Town 0
Barton 2
Waltham Abbey 1
Chichester City -
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Three Bridges 2
Hythe 1
Herne Bay 1
Northwood 0
Chertsey Town -
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Billericay -
Chatham -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
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Hitchin -
Hadley 2
Grays 1
Ipswich Wanderers 2
Gorleston 0
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Carshalton -
Bashley 0
Mousehole 4
Falmouth Town 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Westbury United 0
Gloucester City -
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Wimborne -
Frome Town -
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
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Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
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Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
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Sholing -
Tiverton -
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Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Banbury -
Poole Town -
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Gosport Borough -
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 1
Yate 3
Bideford 2
Malvern Town 0
Helston Athletic 1
Melksham 2
Willand Rovers 0
Bishops Cleeve 2
Winchester City -
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Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
Larkhall 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
North Leigh 1
Exmouth Town 4
Kidlington 1
Horndean 3
Binfield 0
Semi-finals
Workington -
TBD -
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Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
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City Of Liverpool 4
Pontefract Collieries 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
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AFC Emley 0
Newton Aycliffe 3
Ossett United 2
Bradford PA 1
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Avro 0
FC Congleton Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Trafford 3
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
Ashton United -
Wythenshawe Town 2
Stocksbridge 3
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
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Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
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United of Manchester -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
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Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stamford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Belper Town 2
Loughborough Students 1
Hinckley LR 2
Hednesford 1
Chasetown 2
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Khalsa 4
Nantwich 3
TBD -
Harborough -
TBD -
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Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Hanley Town 1
Sherwood Colliery 0
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
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Telford -
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Walsall Wood 1
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 3
Carlton Town 2
Worksop -
TBD -
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St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
TBD -
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Mickleover -
Spalding United -
TBD -
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Alvechurch -
Ramsgate 2
Raynes Park Vale 1
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
Real Bedford 4
Leighton Town 0
Sittingbourne 4
Kingstonian 1
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 2
Croydon Athletic 1
Westfield 1
Thame United 3
Ashford United 2
Hartley Wintney 1
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Enfield FC 1
Wroxham 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town 4
Tilbury 0
Sudbury -
TBD -
Newmarket 1
Cambridge City 3
Sevenoaks 1
Leatherhead 2
TBD -
Hastings -
Folkestone -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Margate 0
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Corby 2
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Flackwell Heath 6
Broadbridge Heath 1
TBD -
Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Brightlingsea 1
Brentwood 2
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 1
Burgess Hill 0
Leverstock Green 3
Barton 4
Chichester City -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Herne Bay 3
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hadley 4
Ipswich Wanderers 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Mousehole 3
Falmouth Town 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Yate 2
Bideford 0
Melksham 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
North Leigh 0
Exmouth Town 1
Horndean 2
Final
Workington 3
Morpeth 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Stockton 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Macclesfield 3
Whitby 0
Newton Aycliffe 1
Ossett United 2
Prescot Cables 0
FC Congleton Town 1
Hyde 0
Trafford 2
Ashton United 5
Stocksbridge 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Guiseley 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Hebburn Town 0
United of Manchester 3
Clitheroe 2
Lancaster 0
Stourbridge 3
Matlock 0
Kettering 0
Gainsborough 2
Stamford 1
Anstey Nomads 5
Belper Town 3
Hinckley LR 1
Chasetown 1
Bromsgrove 0
Sporting Khalsa 5
Harborough 2
Redditch 0
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 3
Hanley Town 2
Barwell 1
Stratford 0
Telford 2
Cleethorpes 1
Ilkeston 2
Coleshill Town 3
Worksop 2
St Ives Town 1
Leek Town 0
Mickleover 1
Spalding United 1
Alvechurch 2
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 3
Bowers & Pitsea 3
Real Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 2
Bognor Regis 1
Potters 2
Whitehawk 1
Uxbridge 3
Thame United 2
Ashford United 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Haringey Borough 0
Hanwell Town 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Sudbury 0
Cambridge City 1
Leatherhead 1
Hastings 2
Folkestone 8
Ascot United 1
Lewes 6
Bracknell Town 3
Leiston 1
Horsham FC 2
Bedford 1
Hendon 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Canvey Island 2
Flackwell Heath 1
Stortford 2
Dover Ath. 3
Cheshunt 0
Brentwood 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Lowestoft 2
Royston Town 3
Marlow 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Littlehampton 0
Barton 1
Chichester City 2
Herne Bay 0
Chertsey Town 2
Billericay 1
Chatham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Dartford 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 1
Hitchin 0
Hadley 3
Carshalton 1
Mousehole 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gloucester City 3
Wimborne 2
Frome Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 1
Basingstoke 0
AFC Totton 1
Merthyr Town 0
Hungerford 3
Sholing 1
Tiverton 0
Dorchester 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Banbury 2
Poole Town 1
Gosport Borough 2
Yate 3
Melksham 0
Winchester City 5
Swindon Supermarine 2
Tavistock 3
Horndean 1