Sport Picks

England

FA Cup Mill Farm

Match Events

47'

Lennon C.

49'

O'Kane T.

59'

Jolley C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFC Fylde host Darlington FC in the FA Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: AFC Fylde at 2.5 goals for, 1.5 against; Darlington FC at 1 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor AFC Fylde slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.25, favoring AFC Fylde. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

AFC Fylde

28%

Draws

22%

Darlington FC

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

AFC Fylde has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Darlington FC.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for AFC Fylde.
Cup tournament structure in FA Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 19%

Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFC Fylde	Darlington FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	14
Draws	2	5
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	2.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League North

AFC Fylde vs Darlington FC

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Sep 30, 2025 FA Cup

Darlington FC vs AFC Fylde

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Sep 27, 2025 FA Cup

AFC Fylde vs Darlington FC

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Aug 19, 2025 National League North

Darlington FC vs AFC Fylde

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Mar 11, 2023 National League North

AFC Fylde vs Darlington FC

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Fylde Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Kane T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jolley C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Darlington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lennon C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rutledge A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 49 / 100

Darlington FC 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFC Fylde Darlington FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FYL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Fylde scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Darlington FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

AFC Fylde went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Darlington FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Darlington FC

2.5 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde-

TBD-

Warrington Town0

Bamber Bridge3

Silsden2

Bootle4

TBD-

Darlington FC-

Telford-

TBD-

Kidderminster-

Kidsgrove Athletic1

Racing Club Warwick2

Evesham5

Bromsgrove2

Macclesfield-

TBD-

Atherton Rovers5

Atherton Collieries2

Avro1

Nantwich3

Trafford2

Stockton1

Sutton Coldfield Town5

Abbey Hulton4

Hanley Town0

Stourbridge2

Bourne1

Shepshed2

Stamford1

Coventry Sphinx0

Kendal0

Dunston1

Wombwell Town1

Stocksbridge3

Corby1

Gainsborough2

Rushall5

Atherstone1

TBD-

Hartlepool-

Carlisle-

TBD-

Boston United-

Rochdale-

TBD-

York City-

Pickering Town5

Redcar Athletic2

West Didsbury & Chorlton0

Runcorn Linnets2

Hallam2

Ashton United4

TBD-

Scarborough Athletic-

Newcastle Blue Star1

Heaton Stannington0

TBD-

Marine-

Buxton-

TBD-

Redditch5

Skegness Town0

Morecambe-

TBD-

Workington2

Stalybridge3

TBD-

Chester-

Curzon Ashton-

TBD-

Hebburn Town1

Longridge Town0

South Shields-

TBD-

Warrington Rylands1

Guiseley4

Widnes FC-

FC Congleton Town-

TBD-

Chorley-

Ilkeston1

Spalding United2

TBD-

Alfreton-

Bedford-

TBD-

Dagenham & Red.-

Tamworth-

TBD-

Hyde3

Prescot Cables2

Lancaster1

Whitby2

Matlock4

Bottesford Town1

Carlton Town3

Cleethorpes0

Scunthorpe-

TBD-

Redbridge1

Royston Town2

Brentwood2

Leighton Town1

Chesham-

TBD-

King’s Lynn-

Eastwood Community FC1

Grimsby Borough2

Halesowen4

Stratford1

Sudbury4

Mildenhall0

Aveley3

Hashtag0

TBD-

Gateshead-

West Auckland Town3

Wythenshawe FC1

TBD-

Spennymoor-

Rossington Main0

United of Manchester4

Bishop Auckland1

Chadderton3

Coleshill Town2

Worcester Raiders1

Hednesford3

Basford Utd.1

Billericay4

Barton1

Berkhamsted Town2

St Ives Town0

Morpeth2

Pontefract Collieries1

Witton Albion6

Shildon3

Radcliffe-

TBD-

Southport-

TBD-

Halifax-

Altrincham-

TBD-

Harborough3

Leek Town0

TBD-

Worksop-

Peterborough Sports-

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Bishops Cleeve2

Wimborne5

TBD-

Bath City-

Burnham FC0

Jersey Bulls3

TBD-

Worthing FC-

TBD-

Forest Green-

FC Haverhill Rovers0

Waltham Abbey3

March Town1

Gorleston3

Maldon & Tiptree2

Canvey Island0

Stanway Rovers2

Cockfosters1

Soul Tower Hamlets4

Ascot United1

Flackwell Heath2

Lewes1

Bracknell Town4

Dartford2

Tadley Calleva4

Weymouth2

Woking-

TBD-

Brackley-

Wealdstone-

TBD-

Dulwich Hamlet2

Whitstable Town3

Havant & Waterlooville0

Chichester City1

Hungerford3

AFC Stoneham0

Tavistock1

Swindon Supermarine4

Cray Wanderers2

Hanwell Town3

Bedfont Sports4

Littlehampton3

Uxbridge1

Welling2

TBD-

Slough Town-

Enfield FC3

Ilford1

TBD-

Enfield Town-

Quorn8

Sherwood Colliery0

Long Eaton1

Kettering4

Winchester City0

Fareham1

Fairford0

Sholing2

Eastbourne Borough-

TBD-

Epsom2

Risborough Rangers1

TBD-

Boreham Wood-

Merthyr Town-

TBD-

Royal Wootton1

Torpoint3

Hampton & Richmond-

TBD-

Sittingbourne1

Croydon Athletic2

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Southend-

TBD-

Westfield2

Sheppey United0

TBD-

Horsham FC-

Folkestone3

Sevenoaks0

TBD-

Maidstone-

Ebbsfleet-

TBD-

Ashford Town3

Whyteleafe2

Maidenhead-

TBD-

Faversham5

Hastings2

TBD-

Solihull Moors-

Braintree-

TBD-

Westbury United5

Yate4

TBD-

Oxford City-

Farnborough-

TBD-

Dover Ath.-

Chertsey Town2

Thame United1

Ramsgate1

Cray Valley2

Steyning Town5

Lancing0

TBD-

Tonbridge-

Raynes Park Vale0

Ashford United2

Chatham4

Marlow0

Deal Town2

Cobham0

Beckenham Town2

Egham Town3

Gosport Borough2

Basingstoke1

Didcot2

Poole Town3

Tiverton3

Taunton Town4

TBD-

Weston-super-Mare-

Needham Market4

Tilbury2

Eynesbury Rovers3

Arlesey1

Histon2

Mulbarton Wanderers3

FC Witham Town3

Lowestoft2

Hemel Hempstead-

TBD-

Real Bedford1

Stortford2

Boston Town1

Sporting Khalsa3

TBD-

Hereford-

TBD-

Yeovil-

Cheshunt1

Leiston2

Knaphill1

Hackney Wick2

Worcester3

Chasetown4

Mangotsfield0

Banbury1

Brightlingsea2

Bury Town3

Newmarket2

Woodford Town3

Potters2

Hitchin4

Aylesbury Vale1

St. Albans3

Alvechurch4

Barwell2

TBD-

Leamington-

Chelmsford-

TBD-

Bowers & Pitsea1

Hertford Town2

Hayes & Yeading3

Whitehawk4

Three Bridges0

Walton & Hersham2

Gloucester City3

Portchester1

TBD-

Chippenham Town-

AFC Totton-

TBD-

Torquay-

Shaftesbury Town3

Exmouth Town1

Plymouth Parkway0

Frome Town4

TBD-

Truro-

Salisbury-

TBD-

Hythe & Dibden1

Laverstock & Ford2

Dorking Wanderers-

TBD-

Carshalton2

Wingate & Finchley3

TBD-

Aldershot-

Wokingham Town FC1

Burgess Hill5

Erith Town0

Farnham3

Falmouth Town0

Brixham5

Slimbridge0

Dorchester1

TBD-

Sutton-

Quarter-finals

AFC Fylde4

Bamber Bridge1

Bootle1

Darlington FC3

Telford3

Kidderminster1

Racing Club Warwick3

Evesham4

Macclesfield3

Atherton Rovers0

Nantwich3

Trafford1

Sutton Coldfield Town3

Stourbridge1

Shepshed0

Stamford2

Dunston1

Stocksbridge0

Gainsborough2

Rushall1

TBD-

Hartlepool-

Carlisle-

TBD-

Boston United-

Rochdale-

TBD-

York City-

Pickering Town0

Runcorn Linnets2

Ashton United2

Scarborough Athletic0

Newcastle Blue Star0

Marine2

Buxton3

Redditch0

Morecambe-

TBD-

Stalybridge1

Chester2

Curzon Ashton4

Hebburn Town1

South Shields2

Guiseley1

FC Congleton Town0

Chorley1

Spalding United3

Alfreton0

Bedford1

Dagenham & Red.2

Tamworth-

TBD-

Hyde2

Whitby0

Matlock3

Carlton Town0

Scunthorpe-

TBD-

Royston Town1

Brentwood0

Chesham1

King’s Lynn4

Grimsby Borough2

Halesowen7

Sudbury1

Aveley2

TBD-

Gateshead-

West Auckland Town0

Spennymoor1

United of Manchester0

Chadderton1

Coleshill Town0

Hednesford7

Billericay3

Berkhamsted Town0

Morpeth2

Witton Albion1

Radcliffe3

Southport4

TBD-

Halifax-

Altrincham-

TBD-

Harborough3

Worksop2

Peterborough Sports2

Hornchurch1

Wimborne2

Bath City1

Jersey Bulls2

Worthing FC7

TBD-

Forest Green-

Waltham Abbey2

Gorleston0

Maldon & Tiptree2

Stanway Rovers0

Soul Tower Hamlets0

Flackwell Heath2

Bracknell Town2

Tadley Calleva0

Woking-

TBD-

Brackley-

Wealdstone-

TBD-

Whitstable Town2

Chichester City1

Hungerford3

Swindon Supermarine0

Hanwell Town0

Bedfont Sports1

Welling1

Slough Town2

Enfield FC0

Enfield Town3

Quorn2

Kettering1

Fareham0

Sholing3

Eastbourne Borough4

Epsom0

TBD-

Boreham Wood-

Merthyr Town4

Torpoint0

Hampton & Richmond4

Croydon Athletic2

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Southend-

TBD-

Westfield2

Horsham FC8

Folkestone2

Maidstone0

Ebbsfleet5

Ashford Town0

Maidenhead0

Faversham1

TBD-

Solihull Moors-

Braintree-

TBD-

Westbury United3

Oxford City2

Farnborough4

Dover Ath.1

Chertsey Town2

Cray Valley3

Steyning Town3

Tonbridge8

Ashford United0

Chatham3

Deal Town2

Egham Town1

Gosport Borough0

Poole Town3

Taunton Town1

Weston-super-Mare4

Needham Market4

Eynesbury Rovers2

Mulbarton Wanderers0

FC Witham Town2

Hemel Hempstead4

Stortford1

Sporting Khalsa2

Hereford3

TBD-

Yeovil-

Leiston4

Hackney Wick1

Chasetown1

Banbury2

Bury Town1

Woodford Town2

Hitchin1

St. Albans2

Alvechurch3

Leamington0

Chelmsford6

Hertford Town0

Whitehawk0

Walton & Hersham2

Gloucester City1

Chippenham Town2

AFC Totton2

Torquay0

Shaftesbury Town2

Frome Town3

TBD-

Truro-

Salisbury4

Laverstock & Ford1

Dorking Wanderers7

Wingate & Finchley2

TBD-

Aldershot-

Burgess Hill1

Farnham3

Brixham1

Dorchester3

TBD-

Sutton-

Semi-finals

AFC Fylde3

Darlington FC5

Telford4

Evesham1

Macclesfield2

Nantwich0

Sutton Coldfield Town0

Stamford1

Dunston1

Gainsborough2

TBD-

Hartlepool-

Carlisle-

TBD-

Boston United-

Rochdale-

TBD-

York City-

Runcorn Linnets3

Ashton United2

Marine2

Buxton3

Morecambe-

TBD-

Chester5

Curzon Ashton1

South Shields4

Chorley1

Spalding United2

Dagenham & Red.1

Tamworth-

TBD-

Hyde1

Matlock0

Scunthorpe-

TBD-

Royston Town1

King’s Lynn5

Halesowen0

Aveley1

TBD-

Gateshead-

Spennymoor3

Chadderton0

Hednesford0

Billericay2

Morpeth1

Southport3

TBD-

Halifax-

Altrincham-

TBD-

Harborough4

Peterborough Sports1

Wimborne0

Worthing FC3

TBD-

Forest Green-

Waltham Abbey2

Maldon & Tiptree4

Flackwell Heath4

Bracknell Town1

Woking-

TBD-

Brackley-

Wealdstone-

TBD-

Whitstable Town2

Hungerford0

Bedfont Sports1

Slough Town2

Enfield Town5

Quorn1

Sholing1

Eastbourne Borough2

TBD-

Boreham Wood-

Merthyr Town0

Hampton & Richmond1

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Southend-

TBD-

Horsham FC2

Folkestone3

Ebbsfleet2

Faversham1

TBD-

Solihull Moors-

Braintree-

TBD-

Westbury United0

Farnborough1

Cray Valley0

Tonbridge5

Chatham3

Deal Town1

Poole Town0

Weston-super-Mare2

Needham Market2

FC Witham Town1

Hemel Hempstead5

Hereford2

TBD-

Yeovil-

Leiston0

Banbury3

Woodford Town0

St. Albans1

Alvechurch1

Chelmsford2

Walton & Hersham0

Chippenham Town2

AFC Totton4

Frome Town2

TBD-

Truro-

Salisbury3

Dorking Wanderers5

TBD-

Aldershot-

Farnham3

Dorchester0

TBD-

Sutton-

Final

Darlington FC0

Telford6

Macclesfield1

Stamford0

Gainsborough4

Hartlepool2

Carlisle5

Boston United2

Rochdale1

York City2

Runcorn Linnets0

Buxton1

Morecambe1

Chester3

South Shields4

Spalding United0

Tamworth1

Hyde0

Scunthorpe4

King’s Lynn2

Aveley0

Gateshead3

Spennymoor1

Billericay0

Southport1

Halifax3

Altrincham5

Harborough2

Worthing FC1

Forest Green4

Maldon & Tiptree1

Flackwell Heath0

Woking3

Brackley7

Wealdstone5

Whitstable Town1

Slough Town3

Enfield Town2

Eastbourne Borough0

Boreham Wood3

Hampton & Richmond0

Eastleigh2

Southend4

Folkestone1

Ebbsfleet2

Solihull Moors0

Braintree2

Farnborough0

Tonbridge1

Chatham3

Weston-super-Mare1

Needham Market0

Hemel Hempstead2

Yeovil1

Banbury1

St. Albans2

Chelmsford4

Chippenham Town3

AFC Totton3

Truro2

Dorking Wanderers2

Aldershot3

Farnham5

Sutton6