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AFC Harman vs Cetate Rasnov

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 - Seria 1 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
AFC Harman
15%
Draws
26%
Cetate Rasnov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Harman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Cetate Rasnov average 1.81 goals a game right now, well clear of AFC Harman's 1.6.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AFC Harman Clean Sheet 13%
Cetate Rasnov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Harman Cetate Rasnov
Matches Played 35 36
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
AFC Harman vs Cetate Rasnov
2:0
Nov 24, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Cetate Rasnov vs AFC Harman
2:1
May 2, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Cetate Rasnov vs AFC Harman
3:2
Oct 28, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 1
AFC Harman vs Cetate Rasnov
1:1
Sep 13, 2017 Romanian Cup
Cetate Rasnov vs AFC Harman
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Harman 31 / 100
Cetate Rasnov 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Harman Cetate Rasnov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cetate Rasnov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Harman scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Cetate Rasnov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

AFC Harman has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cetate Rasnov
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Harman

(Home)
25 May
Avantul Reghin
2 : 1
AFC Harman
18 May
AFC Harman
2 : 0
Cetate Rasnov
11 May
Unirea Tasnad
1 : 2
AFC Harman
07 May
AFC Harman
0 : 2
Miercurea Ciuc
04 May
AFC Harman
3 : 0
Gaz Metan Medias 2
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Cetate Rasnov

(Away)
24 May
Tricolorul Breaza
2 : 2
Cetate Rasnov
17 May
Cetate Rasnov
1 : 2
Olimpic Zarnesti
09 May
Kids Tampa Brasov
3 : 1
Cetate Rasnov
03 May
Cetate Rasnov
10 : 1
Tarlungeni
26 Apr
Cetate Rasnov
3 : 4
VSK Gyergyo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aerostar 28 21 5 2 80:20 68
2 Miercurea Ciuc 28 20 6 2 74:25 66
3 Otelul 28 17 9 2 55:15 60
4 Roman 28 14 4 10 60:41 46
5 Bucovina Radauti 28 13 6 9 41:24 45
6 AFC Harman 28 13 5 10 55:31 44
7 Sporting Liesti 28 13 5 10 48:35 44
8 Cetate Rasnov 28 12 8 8 41:28 44
9 Targu Secuiesc 28 12 6 10 69:45 42
10 CSM Focsani 28 11 8 9 47:36 41
11 Odorheiu 28 10 3 15 39:48 33
12 Sanatatea Darabani 28 8 6 14 41:52 30
13 CSM Pascani 28 6 2 20 30:75 20
14 Avantul Valea Marului 27 2 1 24 26:79 7
15 Metalosport Galati 27 0 0 27 2:154 -12
Promotion - Liga 2 2018/2019 (Main)