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AFC Malmo vs Angelholm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo host Angelholm in the Division 1 - Södra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Angelholm have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while AFC Malmo have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Angelholm slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward AFC Malmo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
AFC Malmo
15%
Draws
31%
Angelholm
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Malmo have won more games recently than Angelholm.
  • AFC Malmo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 19%
Angelholm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Angelholm
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Angelholm vs AFC Malmo
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Malmo vs Angelholm
3:0
Oct 10, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Angelholm
1:3
Apr 18, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Angelholm vs AFC Malmo
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Angelholm vs AFC Malmo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 58 / 100
Angelholm 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Angelholm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Angelholm conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Angelholm
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
10 Oct
AFC Malmo
4 : 2
Skovde
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
27 Sept
Eskilsminne
1 : 2
AFC Malmo
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1
Utsikten
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0
AFC Malmo
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Angelholm

(Away)
11 Oct
Utsikten
0 : 2
Angelholm
03 Oct
Angelholm
3 : 0
Rosengard
27 Sept
Trelleborg
4 : 1
Angelholm
21 Sept
Angelholm
2 : 2
Eskilsminne
16 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Angelholm
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 26 17 6 3 57:28 57
2 Hassleholms IF 26 15 3 8 47:30 48
3 Atvidaberg 26 13 8 5 50:36 47
4 Lunds Bois 26 12 8 6 50:32 44
5 AFC Malmo 26 12 8 6 49:37 44
6 Rosengard 26 10 9 7 42:38 39
7 Trollhattan 26 10 8 8 45:41 38
8 Tvaaker 26 9 7 10 34:40 34
9 Jonkoping 26 9 6 11 29:27 33
10 Olympic 26 10 3 13 48:50 33
11 Skovde 26 8 9 9 33:42 33
12 Eskilsminne 26 9 5 12 42:51 32
13 Kristianstad 26 7 6 13 29:39 27
14 Laholms 26 7 5 14 33:44 26
15 Angelholm 26 5 9 12 33:47 24
16 Utsikten 26 2 6 18 23:62 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)