Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Malmo vs Eskilsminne

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Reuterskiold A.
20' Event
Gustafson A.
Penalty Missed
36'
Kurtulus E.

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AFC Malmo
30%
Draws
41%
Eskilsminne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eskilsminne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Eskilsminne haven't matched AFC Malmo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 15%
Eskilsminne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Eskilsminne
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Eskilsminne
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Eskilsminne
3:0
May 17, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmo
2:2
Sep 20, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Eskilsminne
0:1
Jun 20, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Eskilsminne vs AFC Malmo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Reuterskiold A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reinholdsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Eskilsminne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 35 / 100
Eskilsminne 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Eskilsminne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eskilsminne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Malmo scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Eskilsminne let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: AFC Malmo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Eskilsminne
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
15 Aug
Olympic
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
08 Aug
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Trelleborg
01 Aug
Angelholm
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
27 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 0
Jonkoping
21 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Olympic
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Eskilsminne

(Away)
08 Aug
Eskilsminne
0 : 0
Rosengard
01 Jul
Eskilsminne
3 : 2
Kristianstad
28 Jun
Olympic
2 : 1
Eskilsminne
18 Jun
Eskilsminne
2 : 0
Trollhattan
13 Jun
Atvidaberg
4 : 0
Eskilsminne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 16 10 6 0 37:15 36
2 Hassleholms IF 17 9 3 5 34:22 30
3 AFC Malmo 17 8 5 4 33:22 29
4 Atvidaberg 16 8 5 3 32:21 29
5 Lunds Bois 17 7 7 3 29:22 28
6 Rosengard 16 7 5 4 27:21 26
7 Tvaaker 17 7 4 6 22:24 25
8 Olympic 17 7 2 8 27:29 23
9 Jonkoping 17 6 4 7 24:19 22
10 Eskilsminne 16 6 3 7 25:28 21
11 Trollhattan 17 4 7 6 20:27 19
12 Angelholm 17 3 8 6 24:26 17
13 Laholms 17 5 2 10 22:30 17
14 Kristianstad 17 4 5 8 18:26 17
15 Skovde 16 3 8 5 13:24 17
16 Utsikten 16 1 2 13 12:43 5
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)