Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Malmo vs Hogsby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
AFC Malmo Logo

AFC Malmo

5 - 0
FT
Hogsby Logo

Hogsby

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 game between AFC Malmo and Hogsby finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
AFC Malmo
35%
Draws
41%
Hogsby
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hogsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Malmo come out ahead of Hogsby on wins alone.
  • 24% — that's where the model lands on AFC Malmo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 20%
Hogsby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Hogsby
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogsby vs AFC Malmo
1:1
Jun 11, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
AFC Malmo vs Hogsby
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 58 / 100
Hogsby 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Hogsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Hogsby has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

AFC Malmo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2
Atvidaberg
30 Aug
Laholms
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
22 Aug
AFC Malmo
2 : 5
Lunds Bois
15 Aug
Olympic
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
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Hogsby

(Away)
29 Oct
Hogsby
0 : 5
Simrishamn
22 Oct
Simrishamn
5 : 2
Hogsby
15 Oct
Rappe GOIF
1 : 3
Hogsby
08 Oct
Hogsby
1 : 1
AFC Malmo
01 Oct
IFK Hassleholm
0 : 2
Hogsby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Malmo 26 15 5 6 51:24 50
2 IFK Berga 26 14 7 5 41:25 49
3 Rosengard 26 14 5 7 47:32 47
4 Hassleholms IF 26 13 5 8 58:30 44
5 Nosaby IF 26 11 7 8 34:34 40
6 Osterlen FF 26 11 5 10 38:34 38
7 Rappe GOIF 26 11 4 11 47:43 37
8 Kristianstad 26 10 7 9 41:40 37
9 IFK Hassleholm 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
10 Karlskrona 26 10 5 11 36:35 35
11 Balkan 26 8 5 13 31:47 29
12 Hogsby 26 8 4 14 31:52 28
13 Eslov 26 6 4 16 27:42 22
14 Asarum 26 6 1 19 32:76 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)