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AFC Malmo vs IFK Trelleborg

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AFC Malmo and IFK Trelleborg finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AFC Malmo
22%
Draws
18%
IFK Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • AFC Malmo's 2.63 goals per match outpaces what IFK Trelleborg have produced (1.5).
  • Win probability leans AFC Malmo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 16%
IFK Trelleborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo IFK Trelleborg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Malmo vs IFK Trelleborg
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 57 / 100
IFK Trelleborg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo IFK Trelleborg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

IFK Trelleborg let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AFC Malmo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS IFK Trelleborg
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%