Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Malmo vs Olympic

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ejimole C.
22' Event
Mohammed Y.
37'
Podrimcaku A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between AFC Malmo and Olympic finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AFC Malmo
30%
Draws
47%
Olympic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Malmo's 2.03 goals per match outpaces what Olympic have produced (1.72).
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%
Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Olympic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.03 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Olympic vs AFC Malmo
2:2
Jun 21, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Olympic
1:2
May 26, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Olympic vs AFC Malmo
5:3
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Olympic vs AFC Malmo
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Olympic
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sener C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejimole C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohammed Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 34 / 100
Olympic 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Olympic has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Solid form: AFC Malmo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Olympic
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
15 Aug
Olympic
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
08 Aug
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Trelleborg
01 Aug
Angelholm
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
27 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 0
Jonkoping
21 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Olympic
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Olympic

(Away)
15 Aug
Olympic
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
09 Aug
Jonkoping
2 : 0
Olympic
01 Aug
Olympic
3 : 1
Skovde
25 Jul
Hassleholms IF
1 : 2
Olympic
19 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
3 : 4
Olympic
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 16 10 6 0 37:15 36
2 Hassleholms IF 17 9 3 5 34:22 30
3 AFC Malmo 17 8 5 4 33:22 29
4 Atvidaberg 16 8 5 3 32:21 29
5 Lunds Bois 17 7 7 3 29:22 28
6 Rosengard 16 7 5 4 27:21 26
7 Tvaaker 17 7 4 6 22:24 25
8 Olympic 17 7 2 8 27:29 23
9 Jonkoping 17 6 4 7 24:19 22
10 Eskilsminne 16 6 3 7 25:28 21
11 Trollhattan 17 4 7 6 20:27 19
12 Angelholm 17 3 8 6 24:26 17
13 Laholms 17 5 2 10 22:30 17
14 Kristianstad 17 4 5 8 18:26 17
15 Skovde 16 3 8 5 13:24 17
16 Utsikten 16 1 2 13 12:43 5
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)