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AFC Malmo vs Torslanda

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra 2025 Hyllie IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo play Torslanda in the Division 1 - Södra 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, AFC Malmo averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Torslanda averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, AFC Malmo won 0, Torslanda won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 8, 2025 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for AFC Malmo and 1.31 for Torslanda. This points to a AFC Malmo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
AFC Malmo
22%
Draws
30%
Torslanda
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • AFC Malmo picked up more points recently compared to Torslanda.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 18%
Torslanda Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Torslanda
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Torslanda
1:4
May 29, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Torslanda vs AFC Malmo
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Torslanda
1:2
May 12, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Torslanda vs AFC Malmo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Torslanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yosef Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 47 / 100
Torslanda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Torslanda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AFC Malmo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFC Malmo attacking → ← attacking Torslanda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Torslanda let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Torslanda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 26
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ljungskile30213682:3166
2Norrby30196565:3063
3Jonkoping30195641:2262
4Hassleholms IF30183949:3157
5Lunds Bois301261243:4142
6AFC Malmo301091143:4139
7Trollhattan301081253:5638
8Olympic301081247:5538
9Angelholm30991246:4536
10Eskilsminne30991241:5036
11Rosengard301051531:4635
12Skovde30981340:5935
13Oskarshamn30891329:4333
14Torslanda30961540:5833
15Husqvarna30871547:5531
16IFK Skovde30651931:6523