Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Mansfield vs Soham

England England

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Mansfield in this FA Trophy 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AFC Mansfield
20%
Draws
44%
Soham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Soham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Soham lately — more wins on the board than AFC Mansfield.
  • Win probability leans AFC Mansfield's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Soham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AFC Mansfield, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AFC Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%
Soham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Mansfield Soham
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2018 FA Trophy
AFC Mansfield vs Soham
2:1
Oct 13, 2018 FA Trophy
Soham vs AFC Mansfield
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Mansfield 47 / 100
Soham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Mansfield Soham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Mansfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Mansfield scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Soham has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

AFC Mansfield has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Mansfield VS Soham
1.33 Goals Scored 3.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Mansfield

(Home)
10 Jul
Basford Utd.
2 : 2
AFC Mansfield
22 Jul
Worksop
5 : 0
AFC Mansfield
13 Jul
AFC Mansfield
0 : 0
Grantham Town
03 Oct
Boston United
4 : 2
AFC Mansfield
22 Sept
AFC Mansfield
3 : 0
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 5

Soham

(Away)
23 Jul
Soham
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
15 Jul
Yaxley
2 : 3
Soham
30 Oct
Soham
0 : 3
Nuneaton
09 Oct
Soham
1 : 0
Shepshed
26 Sept
Soham
0 : 3
Corby
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Basford Utd. -
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Peterborough Sports 2
Cambridge City 4
Rushall -
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Stafford -
Stamford 1
Belper Town 0
Loughborough Dynamo 2
Leek Town 5
Stourbridge -
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Kettering -
Stalybridge -
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Nantwich -
Buxton -
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King’s Lynn -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
FC Wisbech Town 3
Corby 2
Yaxley 3
Frickley 3
Skelmersdale 1
Trafford 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
AFC Mansfield 2
Soham 1
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Hednesford -
Pickering Town 3
Stocksbridge 0
Tadcaster Albion 1
Droylsden 3
Neots -
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Matlock -
Barwell -
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Coalville Town -
Lancaster -
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Marine -
Clitheroe 3
Pontefract Collieries 2
Colwyn Bay 0
Ossett United 6
Newcastle Town 2
Gresley 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic -
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Workington -
Marske United 4
Atherton Collieries 3
Radcliffe 2
Cleethorpes 3
Gainsborough -
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Tamworth -
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Warrington Town -
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Kendal 1
Prescot Cables 5
Alvechurch -
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Stratford -
Redditch -
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Mickleover -
Witton Albion -
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Whitby -
St Ives Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Farsley -
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Morpeth 3
Brighouse Town 4
Bedworth United -
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Spalding United 1
Carlton Town 4
South Shields -
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North Ferriby United -
Bamber Bridge -
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Hyde -
Brightlingsea -
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Cray Wanderers 0
Canvey Island 2
Ramsgate 2
Phoenix Sports 1
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Hornchurch -
Lewes -
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Westfield 2
Ashford Town 3
Farnborough -
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Merthyr Town -
Chipstead 2
Welwyn Garden 1
South Park 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Kingstonian -
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Tilbury 1
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers -
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Grays 2
Sevenoaks 4
Whyteleafe 4
Hastings 2
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Tonbridge -
Hendon -
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Staines -
Harrow Borough -
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Biggleswade Town -
Basingstoke -
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Wimborne -
Lowestoft -
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Enfield Town -
Royston Town -
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Chalfont St Peter 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Paulton Rovers 0
Larkhall 0
Thame United 1
Horsham FC 3
Ware 1
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Corinthian-Casuals -
Margate -
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Potters -
Brentwood 4
Marlow 1
Bedfont Sports 1
Whitstable Town 4
Frome Town -
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Poole Town -
Herne Bay 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
AFC Dunstable 0
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley -
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Needham Market -
Leiston -
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Hanwell Town 1
VCD Athletic 3
Thatcham 2
Cirencester 0
Slimbridge 2
Melksham 3
Salisbury -
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Barnstaple Town 1
Fleet Town 2
East Grinstead Town 1
Great Wakering 0
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Merstham -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Banbury -
Hitchin -
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Barking 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police -
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Carshalton -
Whitehawk -
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Harlow -
Weymouth -
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Taunton Town -
Cinderford Town 5
Moneyfields 0
Bideford 2
Street 3
Yate 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
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Dorchester -
Gosport Borough -
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North Leigh 2
AFC Totton 6
Aveley 2
Basildon 1
Northwood 0
Dunstable Town 2
Kempston 3
Dereham 1
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Beaconsfield Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Worthing FC -
Haringey Borough -
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Chesham -
Walton Casuals -
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Three Bridges 0
Molesey 1
Bracknell Town 3
Haywards Heath 2
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Bognor Regis -
Folkestone -
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Leatherhead -
Didcot 2
Hertford Town 1
Kidlington 0
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Egham Town 1
Aylesbury United 2
Mildenhall 3
Hythe 2
Romania 0
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Stortford -
Hartley Wintney -
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Tiverton -
Sittingbourne 2
Faversham 0
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Semi-finals
Basford Utd. 2
Cambridge City 1
Rushall 1
Stafford 2
Stamford 1
Leek Town 0
Stourbridge 0
Kettering 2
Stalybridge 1
Nantwich 0
Buxton 5
King’s Lynn 4
FC Wisbech Town 1
Yaxley 3
Frickley 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
AFC Mansfield 2
Hednesford 1
Pickering Town 5
Droylsden 4
Neots 1
Matlock 0
Barwell 4
Coalville Town 3
Lancaster 2
Marine 0
Clitheroe 1
Ossett United 2
Newcastle Town 5
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Workington 1
Marske United 2
Cleethorpes 0
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 3
Halesowen 4
Grantham Town 0
Warrington Town 0
Prescot Cables 1
Alvechurch 1
Stratford 4
Redditch 0
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 1
Whitby 0
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Farsley 4
Brighouse Town 1
Bedworth United 0
Carlton Town 1
South Shields 4
North Ferriby United 0
Bamber Bridge 0
Hyde 3
Brightlingsea 1
Canvey Island 0
Ramsgate 0
Hornchurch 6
Lewes 2
Ashford Town 1
Farnborough 2
Merthyr Town 3
Chipstead 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Kingstonian 3
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
Sevenoaks 1
Whyteleafe 1
Tonbridge 2
Hendon 2
Staines 1
Harrow Borough 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 4
Wimborne 2
Lowestoft 0
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Thame United 4
Horsham FC 3
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Margate 1
Potters 2
Brentwood 3
Whitstable Town 1
Frome Town 1
Poole Town 2
Herne Bay 2
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley 0
Needham Market 2
Leiston 3
VCD Athletic 1
Thatcham 1
Melksham 2
Salisbury 3
Fleet Town 0
East Grinstead Town 0
Merstham 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Banbury 4
Hitchin 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Carshalton 4
Whitehawk 2
Harlow 3
Weymouth 3
Taunton Town 1
Cinderford Town 3
Street 6
Yate 1
Dorchester 3
Gosport Borough 1
AFC Totton 2
Aveley 1
Dunstable Town 0
Kempston 2
Beaconsfield Town 4
Burgess Hill 2
Worthing FC 3
Haringey Borough 3
Chesham 4
Walton Casuals 1
Molesey 0
Bracknell Town 4
Bognor Regis 5
Folkestone 5
Leatherhead 1
Didcot 5
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Mildenhall 2
Hythe 1
Stortford 2
Hartley Wintney 2
Tiverton 6
Sittingbourne 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
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Final
Basford Utd. 4
Stafford 0
Stamford 1
Kettering 0
Stalybridge 2
Buxton 1
Yaxley 3
Ramsbottom Utd 7
AFC Mansfield 2
Pickering Town 4
Neots 0
Barwell 1
Lancaster 1
Ossett United 0
Newcastle Town 2
Workington 7
Marske United 2
Tamworth 0
Halesowen 3
Prescot Cables 2
Stratford 2
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Farsley 4
Carlton Town 0
South Shields 2
Hyde 1
Brightlingsea 2
Hornchurch 1
Lewes 2
Merthyr Town 0
Chipstead 2
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 1
Tonbridge 0
Hendon 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 2
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 5
Thame United 2
Horsham FC 1
Potters 0
Brentwood 3
Poole Town 6
Herne Bay 0
Needham Market 1
Leiston 2
Melksham 1
Salisbury 2
Merstham 0
Banbury 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Carshalton 3
Harlow 1
Weymouth 3
Street 2
Dorchester 3
AFC Totton 1
Aveley 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
Worthing FC 1
Chesham 0
Walton Casuals 2
Bognor Regis 0
Folkestone 3
Didcot 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Stortford 0
Tiverton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
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