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AFC Nove Mesto vs Topolcany

Slovakia Slovakia

Divison C West 2017/2018
Sun, Mar 11, 2018
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Nove Mesto host Topolcany in the Divison C West 2017/2018. AFC Nove Mesto go into this one as the clear favorite. AFC Nove Mesto have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Topolcany's 0.72 scored and 4.24 conceded. Past meetings favor AFC Nove Mesto slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2018, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.06) point toward AFC Nove Mesto. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
AFC Nove Mesto
20%
Draws
0%
Topolcany
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Nove Mesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • AFC Nove Mesto have won more games recently than Topolcany.
  • Model gives AFC Nove Mesto a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 20%
Topolcany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Nove Mesto Topolcany
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 14 27
Goals Scored 1.28 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.62 4.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Topolcany
0:0
Aug 13, 2017 4. liga - West
Topolcany vs AFC Nove Mesto
0:0
Apr 12, 2014 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Topolcany
2:0
Sep 7, 2013 4. liga - West
Topolcany vs AFC Nove Mesto
2:0
Aug 7, 2013 Slovak Cup
AFC Nove Mesto vs Topolcany
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Nove Mesto 85 / 100
Topolcany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Nove Mesto Topolcany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Nove Mesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Topolcany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Topolcany's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

AFC Nove Mesto found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

AFC Nove Mesto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Nove Mesto VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Nove Mesto

(Home)
27 Sept
Stankovce
3 : 2
AFC Nove Mesto
19 Sept
AFC Nove Mesto
0 : 0
Piestany
12 Sept
Spartak Dubnica
2 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
05 Sept
AFC Nove Mesto
2 : 0
Blava
29 Aug
Slovan Levice
1 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
Page 1 of 6

Topolcany

(Away)
17 Jun
Banovce nad Bebravou
4 : 1
Topolcany
10 Jun
Topolcany
0 : 6
Crystal
03 Jun
Gabcikovo
3 : 0
Topolcany
24 May
Topolcany
2 : 6
Z. Moravce-Vrable B
20 May
Spartak Trnava B
7 : 3
Topolcany
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dubnica 34 27 5 2 83:10 86
2 Borcice 34 22 5 7 78:35 71
3 Nove Zamky 34 22 5 7 58:31 71
4 Crystal 34 21 3 10 61:33 66
5 Galanta 34 15 8 11 58:42 53
6 Dun. Streda B 34 15 7 12 51:38 52
7 Z. Moravce-Vrable B 34 14 10 10 60:53 52
8 Spartak Trnava B 34 16 2 16 59:46 50
9 MSK Puchov 34 14 6 14 68:49 48
10 Nitra B 34 14 6 14 57:47 48
11 Velke Ludince 34 14 5 15 50:57 47
12 Gabcikovo 34 13 7 14 55:47 46
13 Sala 34 14 3 17 49:65 45
14 Nemsova 34 13 3 18 46:59 42
15 Belusa 34 10 8 16 50:62 38
16 Banik Prievidza 34 7 4 23 36:75 25
17 Banovce nad Bebravou 34 5 5 24 23:90 20
18 Topolcany 34 4 0 30 25:128 12
19 AFC Nove Mesto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. liga 2018/2019 (Main)