Sport Picks

Slovakia

Divison C West 2017/2018

Topolcany

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFC Nove Mesto play Topolcany in the Divison C West 2017/2018. AFC Nove Mesto are favorites here. Recently, AFC Nove Mesto averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Topolcany averaged 0.72 goals scored and 4.24 conceded. In past meetings, AFC Nove Mesto won 2, Topolcany won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 11, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for AFC Nove Mesto and 1.63 for Topolcany. This points to a AFC Nove Mesto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

AFC Nove Mesto

21%

Draws

14%

Topolcany

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: AFC Nove Mesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

AFC Nove Mesto picked up more points recently compared to Topolcany.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 14%

Topolcany Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFC Nove Mesto	Topolcany
Matches Played	37	29
Wins	12	2
Draws	8	0
Losses	17	27
Goals Scored	1.43	0.72
Goals Conceded	1.76	4.24

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 4. liga - West

AFC Nove Mesto vs Topolcany

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Aug 13, 2017 4. liga - West

Topolcany vs AFC Nove Mesto

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Apr 12, 2014 4. liga - West

AFC Nove Mesto vs Topolcany

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Sep 7, 2013 4. liga - West

Topolcany vs AFC Nove Mesto

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Aug 7, 2013 Slovak Cup

AFC Nove Mesto vs Topolcany

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Nove Mesto 61 / 100

Topolcany 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFC Nove Mesto Topolcany

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Nove Mesto Win (1)

Secondary Pick AFC Nove Mesto & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFC Nove Mesto attacking → ← attacking Topolcany

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Nove Mesto scored in 76% of their last 37 games.

Topolcany let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

AFC Nove Mesto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Topolcany lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 6

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dubnica	34	27	5	2	83:10	86
2	Borcice	34	22	5	7	78:35	71
3	Nove Zamky	34	22	5	7	58:31	71
4	Crystal	34	21	3	10	61:33	66
5	Galanta	34	15	8	11	58:42	53
6	Dun. Streda B	34	15	7	12	51:38	52
7	Z. Moravce-Vrable B	34	14	10	10	60:53	52
8	Spartak Trnava B	34	16	2	16	59:46	50
9	MSK Puchov	34	14	6	14	68:49	48
10	Nitra B	34	14	6	14	57:47	48
11	Velke Ludince	34	14	5	15	50:57	47
12	Gabcikovo	34	13	7	14	55:47	46
13	Sala	34	14	3	17	49:65	45
14	Nemsova	34	13	3	18	46:59	42
15	Belusa	34	10	8	16	50:62	38
16	Banik Prievidza	34	7	4	23	36:75	25
17	Banovce nad Bebravou	34	5	5	24	23:90	20
18	Topolcany	34	4	0	30	25:128	12
19	AFC Nove Mesto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0