Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

3 - 1

Malvern Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFC Rushden & Diamonds in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

20%

Draws

16%

Malvern Town

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

AFC Rushden & Diamonds have won more games recently than Malvern Town.
64% — that's where the model lands on AFC Rushden & Diamonds taking it.
AFC Rushden & Diamonds have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor AFC Rushden & Diamonds, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Clean Sheet 18%

Malvern Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Malvern Town
Matches Played	29	21
Wins	10	3
Draws	5	5
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.34	1.05
Goals Conceded	1.55	2.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.85	1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 FA Trophy

AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Malvern Town

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 85 / 100

Malvern Town 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Malvern Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Rushden & Diamonds Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malvern Town let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

AFC Rushden & Diamonds found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Malvern Town registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Rushden & Diamonds VS Malvern Town

1.33 Goals Scored 0.88

1.83 Goals Conceded 2.38

83% Over 1.5 75%

83% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

(Home)

05 Sept

Desborough Town

0 : 3

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

29 Aug

Chasetown

3 : 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

24 Jul

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

1 : 2

Banbury

10 Jul

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

2 : 2

Milton Keynes Irish

25 Oct

Harborough

4 : 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Page 1 of 6

Malvern Town

(Away)

12 Sept

Chertsey Town

5 : 0

Malvern Town

07 Sept

Redditch

4 : 0

Malvern Town

05 Sept

Malvern Town

1 : 1

Redditch

31 Aug

Malvern Town

1 : 2

Chippenham Town

29 Aug

Gosport Borough

4 : 2

Malvern Town

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Hyde -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

FC Congleton Town 3

Vauxhall 1

Avro 1

Clitheroe 3

Bootle 2

Witton Albion 3

Dunston 4

Brighouse Town 1

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Workington -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Stockton -

TBD -

Stalybridge 2

Trafford 0

Pontefract Collieries 0

Lower Breck 2

Silsden 1

Atherton Collieries 0

Ossett United 1

Nantwich 3

TBD -

Stocksbridge -

Runcorn Linnets 2

Garforth 1

Wythenshawe Town 1

Bury FC 2

TBD -

Morpeth -

Widnes FC -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Bridlington Town 1

Mossley AFC 0

North Ferriby FC 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Guiseley -

Bradford PA 2

Redcar Athletic 1

Consett 4

Hallam 0

Heaton Stannington 2

AFC Emley 0

Newton Aycliffe 3

Blyth Town 0

Whitby -

TBD -

Hebburn Town -

Prescot Cables -

TBD -

Lancaster -

Evesham -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Shifnal Town 1

Chasetown 0

Long Eaton 2

Carlton Town 3

Barwell -

TBD -

Bromsgrove -

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1

Neots 0

Stafford 1

Boldmere St Michaels 0

TBD -

Stratford -

Rushall -

TBD -

Spalding United -

Bedworth United 1

Darlaston Town (1874) 0

Shepshed 0

Anstey Nomads 4

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Quorn -

TBD -

Lichfield City 1

Corby 2

Sutton Coldfield Town 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 2

Real Bedford -

TBD -

Stamford -

Coleshill Town 1

Sporting Khalsa 0

Bourne 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Coventry Sphinx 0

Lincoln Utd. 2

Malvern Town 5

Loughborough Students 1

Halesowen -

TBD -

Leek Town -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Kettering -

Worcester -

TBD -

Rugby 4

Racing Club Warwick 1

Belper Town 2

Newcastle Town 1

Matlock 3

Grimsby Borough 0

Mickleover 2

Basford Utd. 3

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Harborough -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Cleethorpes -

TBD -

Redditch -

Stanway Rovers 4

Aylesbury United 0

Stotfold 0

Mildenhall 2

TBD -

Uxbridge -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Welling -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Grays 2

Milton Keynes Irish 1

Hertford Town 1

Felixstowe & Walton 3

Westfield 4

Margate 2

Bognor Regis 3

Sevenoaks 2

TBD -

Brentwood -

Leatherhead 4

Raynes Park Vale 0

Kingstonian 1

Merstham 0

TBD -

Ramsgate -

Aveley -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Cheshunt -

South Park 1

Broadbridge Heath 2

Bedfont Sports 1

Horndean 0

TBD -

Billericay -

Ware 1

Hadley 5

Ascot United 2

Three Bridges 0

TBD -

Dartford -

Harrow Borough 1

Eastbourne Town 0

Jersey Bulls 3

Hastings 1

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Cambridge City 3

FC Witham Town 3

Newmarket 2

Lewes -

TBD -

Leiston -

Cray Valley -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sudbury -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Chertsey Town -

TBD -

Takeley 0

Welwyn Garden 2

London Lions 0

Tilbury 3

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Potters -

Stortford -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 4

Binfield 3

VCD Athletic 1

Rayners Lane 0

Chatham -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Erith Town 1

Deal Town 2

Herne Bay 0

Ashford United 3

Concord Rangers 2

Biggleswade FC 3

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 3

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police 0

Southall FC 1

Whyteleafe 0

TBD -

Walton & Hersham -

Hassocks 1

Crowborough 3

Sittingbourne 2

Faversham 1

TBD -

Hashtag -

Redbridge 1

Waltham Abbey 4

Lowestoft 2

Leverstock Green 0

Walthamstow FC 3

Dowham Town FC 2

Brightlingsea 0

Leighton Town 3

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Canvey Island -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Northwood 0

Beckenham Town 1

Littlehampton 1

Hendon 2

Enfield FC 1

Wroxham 0

Maldon & Tiptree 0

AFC Dunstable 1

TBD -

Folkestone -

Bracknell Town -

TBD -

Hungerford -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Bristol Manor Farm 0

Shaftesbury Town 2

Brixham 0

Falmouth Town 4

Hartpury University 2

Didcot 1

Portishead Town 4

Melksham 0

TBD -

Gloucester City -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Exmouth Town 1

Swindon Supermarine 2

Bideford 3

Mousehole 1

Moneyfields 2

Thame United 3

Winchester City 2

Frome Town 0

TBD -

Banbury -

Fareham 4

Beaconsfield Town 1

Willand Rovers 1

Bishops Cleeve 2

TBD -

Sholing -

Yate -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Portchester 1

Flackwell Heath 0

Tavistock 2

Larkhall 1

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Chichester City -

TBD -

Farnham -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Wimborne -

TBD -

Weymouth -

Semi-finals

Hyde -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

FC Congleton Town 1

Clitheroe 3

Witton Albion 0

Dunston 1

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Workington -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Stockton -

TBD -

Stalybridge 0

Lower Breck 3

Silsden 3

Nantwich 0

TBD -

Stocksbridge -

Runcorn Linnets 7

Bury FC 0

TBD -

Morpeth -

Widnes FC -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Bridlington Town 2

North Ferriby FC 0

TBD -

Guiseley -

Bradford PA 2

Consett 0

Heaton Stannington 4

Newton Aycliffe 0

Whitby -

TBD -

Hebburn Town -

Prescot Cables -

TBD -

Lancaster -

Evesham -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Shifnal Town 2

Carlton Town 1

Barwell -

TBD -

Bromsgrove -

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 4

Stafford 3

TBD -

Stratford -

Rushall -

TBD -

Spalding United -

Bedworth United 0

Anstey Nomads 3

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Quorn -

TBD -

Corby 3

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Real Bedford -

TBD -

Stamford -

Coleshill Town 3

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4

Lincoln Utd. 0

Malvern Town 2

Halesowen -

TBD -

Leek Town -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Kettering -

Worcester -

TBD -

Rugby 3

Belper Town 2

Matlock 1

Basford Utd. 2

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Harborough -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Cleethorpes -

TBD -

Redditch -

Stanway Rovers 3

Mildenhall 0

TBD -

Uxbridge -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Welling -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Grays 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Westfield 2

Bognor Regis 1

TBD -

Brentwood -

Leatherhead 2

Kingstonian 0

TBD -

Ramsgate -

Aveley -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Cheshunt -

Broadbridge Heath 2

Bedfont Sports 1

TBD -

Billericay -

Hadley 3

Ascot United 2

TBD -

Dartford -

Harrow Borough 4

Jersey Bulls 0

Cambridge City 3

FC Witham Town 4

Lewes -

TBD -

Leiston -

Cray Valley -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sudbury -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Chertsey Town -

TBD -

Welwyn Garden 2

Tilbury 3

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Potters -

Stortford -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 1

VCD Athletic 2

Chatham -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Deal Town 2

Ashford United 3

Biggleswade FC 3

Hitchin 1

Hayes & Yeading 5

Southall FC 1

TBD -

Walton & Hersham -

Crowborough 1

Sittingbourne 6

TBD -

Hashtag -

Waltham Abbey 4

Lowestoft 1

Walthamstow FC 5

Leighton Town 3

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Canvey Island -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Beckenham Town 2

Hendon 5

Enfield FC 1

AFC Dunstable 3

TBD -

Folkestone -

Bracknell Town -

TBD -

Hungerford -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Shaftesbury Town 3

Falmouth Town 2

Hartpury University 4

Portishead Town 2

TBD -

Gloucester City -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Swindon Supermarine 1

Bideford 2

Thame United 3

Winchester City 1

TBD -

Banbury -

Fareham 2

Bishops Cleeve 4

TBD -

Sholing -

Yate -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Portchester 3

Tavistock 0

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Chichester City -

TBD -

Farnham -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Wimborne -

TBD -

Weymouth -

Final

Hyde 1

Warrington Town 0

Ashton United 1

Clitheroe 2

Dunston 2

Warrington Rylands 1

Workington 0

United of Manchester 2

Stockton 2

Lower Breck 0

Silsden 1

Stocksbridge 2

Runcorn Linnets 1

Morpeth 2

Widnes FC 0

Bamber Bridge 3

Bridlington Town 2

Guiseley 4

Bradford PA 2

Heaton Stannington 1

Whitby 1

Hebburn Town 2

Prescot Cables 2

Lancaster 0

Evesham 0

Ilkeston 2

Gainsborough 3

Shifnal Town 2

Barwell 0

Bromsgrove 3

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1

Stratford 2

Rushall 0

Spalding United 2

Anstey Nomads 3

Stourbridge 2

Quorn 2

Corby 3

Real Bedford 3

Stamford 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Malvern Town 1

Halesowen 1

Leek Town 2

St Ives Town 1

Kettering 0

Worcester 3

Rugby 2

Basford Utd. 0

Alvechurch 1

Harborough 2

Hednesford 0

Cleethorpes 0

Redditch 1

Stanway Rovers 1

Uxbridge 0

Royston Town 0

Welling 3

Hanwell Town 2

Grays 1

Westfield 1

Brentwood 2

Leatherhead 4

Ramsgate 1

Aveley 0

St. Albans 2

Carshalton 1

Cheshunt 2

Broadbridge Heath 1

Billericay 3

Hadley 2

Dartford 1

Harrow Borough 3

FC Witham Town 1

Lewes 1

Leiston 2

Cray Valley 1

Berkhamsted Town 0

Sudbury 4

Bury Town 0

Chertsey Town 1

Tilbury 2

Burgess Hill 2

Potters 1

Stortford 4

Cray Wanderers 0

Wingate & Finchley 4

VCD Athletic 1

Chatham 1

Needham Market 0

Ashford United 4

Biggleswade FC 3

Hayes & Yeading 0

Walton & Hersham 1

Sittingbourne 1

Hashtag 0

Waltham Abbey 6

Walthamstow FC 0

Whitehawk 0

Canvey Island 2

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Hendon 1

AFC Dunstable 1

Folkestone 3

Bracknell Town 6

Hungerford 3

Basingstoke 2

Shaftesbury Town 1

Hartpury University 0

Gloucester City 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Gosport Borough 2

Dorchester 4

Bideford 0

Thame United 0

Banbury 2

Bishops Cleeve 2

Sholing 1

Yate 1

Poole Town 2

Portchester 2

Taunton Town 1

Chichester City 2

Farnham 4

Havant & Waterlooville 4

Tiverton 2

Wimborne 2

Weymouth 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Malvern Town

England

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Malvern Town

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Malvern Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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