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AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NSL Women BMO Field, Toronto, ON
AFC Toronto W Logo

AFC Toronto W

0 - 2
FT
Montreal Roses FC W Logo

Montreal Roses FC W

Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Alidou d'Anjou M.
(Penalty)
62'
Sub
Bilbault C. In: Thibault L.
Out: Bilbault C.
64'
Sub
Chisholm O. In: Silano L.
Out: Chisholm O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montreal Roses FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montreal Roses FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
AFC Toronto W
35%
Draws
28%
Montreal Roses FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AFC Toronto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Montreal Roses FC W average 1.74 goals a game right now, well clear of AFC Toronto W's 1.65.
  • Win probability leans AFC Toronto W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 68%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Toronto W Montreal Roses FC W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.65 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:2
Aug 16, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:2
Jul 23, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:2
Jun 13, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
1:1
May 10, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Toronto W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Toronto W 59 / 100
Montreal Roses FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Toronto W Montreal Roses FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Toronto W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Toronto W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AFC Toronto W's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montreal Roses FC W conceded in 61% of 23 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AFC Toronto W VS Montreal Roses FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Toronto W

(Home)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
19 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1
AFC Toronto W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

Montreal Roses FC W

(Away)
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3
Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)