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AFC Totton vs Hinckley

England England

Southern Premier League 2013/2014
Sat, Apr 26, 2014
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Totton host Hinckley in the Southern Premier League 2013/2014. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: AFC Totton at 1.25 goals for, 1.61 against; Hinckley at 1.67 for, 2.67 against. Head-to-head, AFC Totton have won 0 to Hinckley's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2014, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.31) point toward AFC Totton. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AFC Totton
15%
Draws
35%
Hinckley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Totton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Totton come out ahead of Hinckley on wins alone.
  • AFC Totton are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Southern Premier League 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 18%
Hinckley Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Totton Hinckley
Matches Played 28 3
Wins 12 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.25 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 Southern Premier League
AFC Totton vs Hinckley
0:0
Jan 4, 2014 Southern Premier League
Hinckley vs AFC Totton
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Totton 40 / 100
Hinckley 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Totton Hinckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Totton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hinckley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

AFC Totton's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AFC Totton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

AFC Totton VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Totton

(Home)
05 Sept
AFC Totton
4 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
31 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1
AFC Totton
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4
Chesham
18 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
15 Aug
AFC Totton
1 : 0
Billericay
Page 1 of 6

Hinckley

(Away)
02 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Hinckley
26 Sept
Chasetown
5 : 2
Hinckley
12 Sept
Hinckley
2 : 1
Redditch

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemel Hempstead 44 32 6 6 128:38 102
2 Chesham 44 29 5 10 102:47 92
3 Cambridge City 44 27 7 10 95:49 88
4 St. Albans 44 25 10 9 89:49 85
5 Stourbridge 44 26 6 12 114:54 84
6 Hungerford 44 26 6 12 83:45 84
7 Poole Town 44 25 10 9 82:48 82
8 Bideford 44 18 13 13 75:64 67
9 Biggleswade Town 44 16 16 12 85:61 64
10 Redditch 44 20 3 21 68:85 63
11 Corby 44 18 6 20 65:68 60
12 Weymouth 44 18 6 20 69:80 60
13 Hitchin 44 16 11 17 63:52 59
14 Frome Town 44 16 9 19 63:74 57
15 Arlesey 44 15 10 19 68:79 55
16 Neots 44 15 9 20 74:76 54
17 Truro 44 15 9 20 68:84 54
18 Chippenham Town 44 14 6 24 59:87 48
19 Banbury 44 14 5 25 64:116 47
20 Burnham FC 44 12 8 24 60:91 44
21 AFC Totton 44 10 7 27 58:119 37
22 Bedford 44 6 6 32 46:114 24
23 Bashley 44 4 4 36 33:131 16
Promotion - Vanarama Conference South 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)