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AFC Totton vs Worthing FC

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Jenks T.
55' Event
Makowski W.
65' Event
Jenks T.

AI Match Summary

The National League South 2025/2026 game between AFC Totton and Worthing FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Worthing FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
AFC Totton
17%
Draws
70%
Worthing FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • AFC Totton haven't matched Worthing FC's recent run of results.
  • Worthing FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 10%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Totton Worthing FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National League South
AFC Totton vs Worthing FC
0:3
Nov 11, 2025 National League South
Worthing FC vs AFC Totton
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Totton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenks T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Makowski W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Totton 14 / 100
Worthing FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Totton Worthing FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

AFC Totton's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Worthing FC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: AFC Totton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Totton VS Worthing FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Totton

(Home)
11 Jul
AFC Totton
2 : 2
Sutton
25 Apr
AFC Totton
1 : 6
Farnborough
18 Apr
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 3
AFC Totton
14 Apr
AFC Totton
2 : 1
Bath City
11 Apr
AFC Totton
2 : 1
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 7

Worthing FC

(Away)
21 Jul
Worthing FC
1 : 0
QPR U21
18 Jul
Frome Town
1 : 1
Worthing FC
10 Jul
Bournemouth U21
2 : 2
Worthing FC
04 Jul
Selsey
0 : 3
Worthing FC
25 Apr
Worthing FC
2 : 0
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)