Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC vs ACV Assen

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Shenkman N.
Assist: Ederveen S.
21'
Sub
van Weerdenburg G. In: Klopper M.
Out: van Weerdenburg G.
45' Event
Hamelink M.
Assist: Wielink N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AFC
15%
Draws
39%
ACV Assen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC lately — more wins on the board than ACV Assen.
  • AFC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
AFC Clean Sheet 13%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC ACV Assen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs ACV Assen
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs AFC
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs AFC
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs ACV Assen
1:1
May 11, 2024 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs ACV Assen
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Shenkman N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

ACV Assen Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamelink M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC 40 / 100
ACV Assen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC ACV Assen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

ACV Assen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: AFC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC VS ACV Assen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC

(Home)
23 May
AFC
2 : 3
Hardenberg
16 May
GVVV
1 : 1
AFC
09 May
AFC
3 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
25 Apr
RKAV Volendam
0 : 3
AFC
18 Apr
AFC
1 : 5
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

ACV Assen

(Away)
23 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 4
ACV Assen
16 May
ACV Assen
1 : 0
Koninklijke HFC
09 May
ACV Assen
1 : 2
Quick Boys
25 Apr
Katwijk
3 : 2
ACV Assen
18 Apr
ACV Assen
0 : 2
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)