Sport Picks
AFC vs Excelsior Maassluis
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam 
Match Events
34'
34'
Shenkman N.
Assist: Okunbor O.
38'
38'
Tavares Q.
Assist: Slagveer D.
45'
45'
Shenkman N.
Assist: Gouda D.
AI Match Summary
AFC in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excelsior Maassluis lately — more wins on the board than AFC.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AFC Clean Sheet 14%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC | Excelsior Maassluis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Excelsior Maassluis
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs AFC
1:1
May 24, 2025 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs AFC
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
AFC vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Compare
Top Goalscorer Shenkman N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gouda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Excelsior Maassluis Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavares Q.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC 35 / 100
Excelsior Maassluis 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Excelsior Maassluis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AFC found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Excelsior Maassluis conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
AFC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AFC VS Excelsior Maassluis
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC
(Home) 12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2 Hardenberg
05 Sept
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 0 AFC
01 Sept
Be Quick 1887
0 : 2 AFC
29 Aug
AFC
2 : 0 Rohda Raalte
22 Aug
GVVV
2 : 3 AFC
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2 Hardenberg
29 Aug
AFC
2 : 0 Rohda Raalte
15 Aug
AFC
1 : 3 VV Kloetinge
23 May
AFC
2 : 3 Hardenberg
09 May
AFC
3 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 3
Excelsior Maassluis
(Away) 12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0 VV Noordwijk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
15 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 1 Excelsior Maassluis
13 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
