Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC vs Hardenberg

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mink M.
Assist: Eikelboom H.
44' Event
Spit L.
Assist: Zwikstra G.
46'
Sub
Okunbor O. In: Wildschut Y.
Out: Okunbor O.

AI Match Summary

Hardenberg in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hardenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
AFC
30%
Draws
16%
Hardenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC have won more games recently than Hardenberg.
  • Model gives AFC a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AFC Clean Sheet 14%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Hardenberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Hardenberg
2:2
May 23, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Hardenberg
2:3
Dec 13, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs AFC
4:1
May 17, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs AFC
0:2
Dec 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Hardenberg
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gouda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mink M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spit L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC 84 / 100
Hardenberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Hardenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hardenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

AFC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: AFC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC VS Hardenberg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC

(Home)
26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1
Katwijk
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
19 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 3
AFC
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 0
AFC
Page 1 of 6

Hardenberg

(Away)
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0
Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2
De Treffers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)