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AFC vs Spakenburg Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Ederveen S.
62'
Sub
van der Linden F. In: Puriel J.
Out: van der Linden F.
62'
Sub
van Mil K. In: Junte R.
Out: van Mil K.

AI Match Summary

AFC in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AFC
20%
Draws
40%
Spakenburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AFC haven't matched Spakenburg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AFC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
AFC Clean Sheet 16%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Spakenburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.62 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs AFC
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Spakenburg
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs AFC
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Spakenburg vs AFC
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Spakenburg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Okunbor O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Spakenburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC 84 / 100
Spakenburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Spakenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Spakenburg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AFC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC VS Spakenburg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC

(Home)
03 Oct
Spakenburg
2 : 1
AFC
26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1
Katwijk
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
19 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 3
AFC
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

Spakenburg

(Away)
03 Oct
Spakenburg
2 : 1
AFC
26 Sept
De Treffers
5 : 0
Spakenburg
22 Sept
RKAV Volendam
3 : 2
Spakenburg
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3
Spakenburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)