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AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon host Mansfield in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Mansfield have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while AFC Wimbledon have conceded 1.41 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor AFC Wimbledon slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.94, favoring Mansfield. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AFC Wimbledon
35%
Draws
32%
Mansfield
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Wimbledon haven't matched Mansfield's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AFC Wimbledon's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 20%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Wimbledon Mansfield
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 League One
Mansfield vs AFC Wimbledon
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield
0:0
Jan 27, 2024 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield
2:1
Oct 7, 2023 League Two
Mansfield vs AFC Wimbledon
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon 36 / 100
Mansfield 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Wimbledon Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mansfield conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

AFC Wimbledon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: AFC Wimbledon scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Wimbledon VS Mansfield
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon

(Home)
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
06 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1
Barnet
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0
Doncaster
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Mansfield

(Away)
10 Oct
Mansfield
2 : 1
Bromley
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Mansfield
12 Sept
Mansfield
0 : 0
Huddersfield
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0
Mansfield
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Bradford City 9 5 2 2 8:5 17
3 Stockport County 9 5 1 3 20:11 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Cambridge Utd 9 4 4 1 14:11 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22:11 15
7 Sheffield Wed 8 4 3 1 15:8 15
8 Oxford Utd 7 4 2 1 15:8 14
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7:10 12
12 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13:11 11
13 Luton 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
14 Mansfield 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
20 Peterborough 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9:15 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)