Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

AFC Wimbledon

1 - 5

Stevenage

Our Tip

Match Events

Patterson P.

Assist: Malcolm J.

15'

Lubala B.

23'

Sasu A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stevenage in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

AFC Wimbledon

30%

Draws

31%

Stevenage

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Wimbledon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence

Stevenage have won more games recently than AFC Wimbledon.
31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Stevenage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Stevenage, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 16%

Stevenage Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFC Wimbledon	Stevenage
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	12
Draws	5	7
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	0.9	0.96
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.11
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage

0:0

Mar 14, 2026 League One

Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon

1:0

Dec 26, 2025 League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage

0:0

Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage

1:5

Sep 5, 2023 EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Stevenage Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahadme G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Patterson P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon 36 / 100

Stevenage 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFC Wimbledon Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AFC Wimbledon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AFC Wimbledon found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Stevenage has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Wimbledon VS Stevenage

0.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon

(Home)

17 Sept

AFC Wimbledon

0 : 0

Milton Keynes Dons

12 Sept

AFC Wimbledon

1 : 0

Doncaster

07 Sept

Bromley

0 : 2

AFC Wimbledon

02 Sept

Burton

4 : 1

AFC Wimbledon

30 Aug

AFC Wimbledon

1 : 0

Wigan

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Stevenage

(Away)

19 Sept

Leyton Orient

1 : 0

Stevenage

10 Sept

Stevenage

2 : 1

Luton

05 Sept

Barnsley

1 : 5

Stevenage

01 Sept

Peterborough

0 : 0

Stevenage

29 Aug

Stevenage

2 : 2

Doncaster

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