Sport Picks
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sub
Higgins A. In: Harris A.
Out: Higgins A.
21'
21'
Tilley J.
21'
21'
Caldwell G.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between AFC Wimbledon and Wigan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Wimbledon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wigan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Wigan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Wigan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 20%
Wigan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
1:2
Mar 5, 2022 League One
Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Oct 23, 2021 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Hippolyte M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Wigan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Wimbledon 16 / 100
Wigan 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Wimbledon Wigan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wigan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wigan has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Wigan lost 3 of their last 5 games.
AFC Wimbledon's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
AFC Wimbledon VS Wigan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Wimbledon
(Home) 24 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 Wycombe
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3 Mansfield
17 Oct
Sheffield Wed
5 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
06 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 Barnet
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 Wycombe
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3 Mansfield
06 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 Barnet
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
Page 1 of 3
Wigan
(Away) 24 Oct
Huddersfield
2 : 1 Wigan
20 Oct
Oxford Utd
2 : 1 Wigan
17 Oct
Wigan
1 : 0 Reading
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
22 Sept
Wigan
3 : 2 Blackpool
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Huddersfield
2 : 1 Wigan
20 Oct
Oxford Utd
2 : 1 Wigan
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0 Wigan
12 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0 Wigan
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 19 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 17 |
| 11 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8:19 | 13 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:26 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:17 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
