Sport Picks
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
England
League One The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sub
Higgins A. In: Harris A.
Out: Higgins A.
21'
21'
Tilley J.
21'
21'
Caldwell G.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between AFC Wimbledon and Wigan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Wimbledon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Wimbledon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Wigan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Wigan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 17%
Wigan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
1:2
Mar 5, 2022 League One
Wigan vs AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Oct 23, 2021 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Hippolyte M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Wigan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Wimbledon 28 / 100
Wigan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Wimbledon Wigan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wigan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wigan has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
AFC Wimbledon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Wigan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
AFC Wimbledon VS Wigan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Wimbledon
(Home) 07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
22 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Reading
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
22 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Reading
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1 Newport
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3 QPR
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
Page 1 of 3
Wigan
(Away) 05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4 Stockport County
02 Sept
Wigan
3 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
22 Aug
Wigan
0 : 2 Leyton Orient
18 Aug
Wigan
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
15 Aug
Cambridge Utd
3 : 2 Wigan
08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1 Wigan
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
31 Jul
Southport
0 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Burton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 8 | Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 19 | Milton Keynes Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 21 | Bromley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 23 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:12 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
