Sport Picks

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AFC Wimbledon W vs Gillingham W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2022/2023 Kingsmeadow, London
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Dorey E.

AI Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon W in this Women’s FA Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AFC Wimbledon W
15%
Draws
40%
Gillingham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Wimbledon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gillingham W lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon W.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on AFC Wimbledon W taking it.
  • Gillingham W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AFC Wimbledon W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AFC Wimbledon W Clean Sheet 10%
Gillingham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Wimbledon W Gillingham W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2023 Women’s FA Cup
AFC Wimbledon W vs Gillingham W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Wimbledon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorey E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Gillingham W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon W 74 / 100
Gillingham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Wimbledon W Gillingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham W let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

AFC Wimbledon W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

AFC Wimbledon W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

AFC Wimbledon W VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon W

(Home)
13 Sept
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Real Bedford W
23 Aug
Plymouth W
0 : 6
AFC Wimbledon W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
26 Apr
Hashtag W
2 : 2
AFC Wimbledon W
12 Apr
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Exeter W
Page 1 of 7

Gillingham W

(Away)
08 Jan
AFC Wimbledon W
1 : 0
Gillingham W
27 Nov
Dulwich Hamlet W
1 : 2
Gillingham W
13 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 3
Gillingham W
19 Dec
Gillingham W
0 : 1
Charlton W
28 Nov
Gillingham W
:
Actonians W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cheadle Town W 3
York City W 2
Tranmere W 0
Burnley W 9
Norwich W 2
Enfield Town W 0
Sutton Coldfield Town W 2
Leafield Athletic W 1
Gwalia United W 4
Bridgwater W 0
Weymouth W 0
Keynsham Town W 5
Bournemouth Sports W 5
Pucklechurch W 0
Warminster W 0
Torquay W 2
Luton W 0
Ipswich W 7
Royston Town W 2
London Seaward W 3
Portishead Town W 2
Eastleigh W 0
Exeter W 4
Bournemouth W 2
Lewes W -
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Ebbsfleet W 1
Southampton Women's W 2
Hackney W 0
London Bees W 4
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Boldmere St Michaels W 1
Peterborough W 2
Stourbridge W 1
TBD -
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Durham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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Watford W 7
Fulham W 1
Moneyfields W 2
Haywards Heath W 3
Blackburn W -
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Sunderland W -
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Manchester United W -
Selsey W 1
AFC Wimbledon W 5
Billericay W 12
King’s Lynn W 0
Aylesford W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 3
Millwall W 2
Gillingham W 3
Charlton W -
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Milton Keynes Dons W 8
Mulbarton Wanderers W 1
Worthing FC W 8
Sutton W 0
Everton W -
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Birmingham W -
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Doncaster W 0
Huddersfield W 3
Norton & Stockton W 1
Durham Cestria W 4
Fleetwood Town W 1
Liverpool Feds W 5
United of Manchester W 1
Merseyrail W 4
Asfordby W 3
Lichfield City W 5
West Brom W 4
Crewe W 0
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Brighton W -
Coventry United W -
TBD -
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Consett W 2
Warrington W 1
Stockport W 7
Penrith W 3
Dartford W 3
Ascot United W 2
Colney Heath W 1
Hashtag W 10
Clapton Community W 1
Ashford United W 2
AFC Stoneham W 0
Actonians W 3
Hull City W 1
Newcastle Utd W 2
AFC Darwen W 1
Barnsley W 5
Shrewsbury W 2
Wolverhampton W 8
Northampton W 6
Dronfield Town W 2
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West Ham W -
Aston Villa W -
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Worcester W 3
Coventry Sphinx W 4
Sedgley & Gornal W 0
Solihull Moors W 5
Alnwick Town W 1
AFC Fylde W 4
Middlesbrough W 2
Bradford City W 1
Bristol City W -
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Southampton FC W -
Bishops Lydeard W 0
Liskeard Athletic W 1
Oxford Utd W 6
Chesham W 1
Swindon W 3
Frampton Rangers W 0
Plymouth W 4
Cheltenham W 2
Manchester City W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
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Lye Town W 1
Wem Town W 4
Oughtibridge W 0
Nottingham W 6
Tottenham W -
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London City Lionesses W -
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Abingdon Town W 0
Portsmouth W 4
Bowers & Pitsea W 2
Needham Market W 0
Leicester W -
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Reading W -
Chelsea W -
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Liverpool W -
Arsenal W -
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Wallsend W 1
Redcar Town W 2
Leeds W 1
Brighouse Town W 0
Loughborough Lightning W 3
Sheffield FC W 0
Stoke City LFC W 2
Derby W 1
1/64-finals
Cheadle Town W 0
Burnley W 1
Norwich W 3
Sutton Coldfield Town W 2
Gwalia United W 6
Keynsham Town W 0
Bournemouth Sports W 3
Torquay W 2
Ipswich W 3
London Seaward W 0
Portishead Town W 2
Exeter W 0
Lewes W -
TBD -
Southampton Women's W 0
London Bees W 3
Sporting Khalsa W 1
Peterborough W 2
TBD -
Durham W -
Crystal Palace W -
TBD -
Watford W 6
Haywards Heath W 0
Blackburn W -
TBD -
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Sunderland W -
TBD -
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Manchester United W -
AFC Wimbledon W 2
Billericay W 0
Dulwich Hamlet W 1
Gillingham W 2
Charlton W -
TBD -
Milton Keynes Dons W 3
Worthing FC W 2
Everton W -
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Birmingham W -
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Huddersfield W 3
Durham Cestria W 0
Liverpool Feds W 4
Merseyrail W 0
Lichfield City W 0
West Brom W 8
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Brighton W -
Coventry United W -
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Consett W 1
Stockport W 6
Dartford W 0
Hashtag W 2
Ashford United W 1
Actonians W 3
Newcastle Utd W 2
Barnsley W 1
Wolverhampton W 5
Northampton W 0
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West Ham W -
Aston Villa W -
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Coventry Sphinx W 1
Solihull Moors W 5
AFC Fylde W 5
Middlesbrough W 4
Bristol City W -
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Southampton FC W -
Liskeard Athletic W 0
Oxford Utd W 13
Swindon W 0
Plymouth W 3
Manchester City W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
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Wem Town W 1
Nottingham W 5
Tottenham W -
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London City Lionesses W -
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Portsmouth W 7
Bowers & Pitsea W 0
Leicester W -
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Reading W -
Chelsea W -
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Liverpool W -
Arsenal W -
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Redcar Town W 2
Leeds W 7
Loughborough Lightning W 1
Stoke City LFC W 3
1/32-finals
Burnley W 1
Norwich W 0
Gwalia United W 5
Bournemouth Sports W 0
Ipswich W 7
Portishead Town W 0
Lewes W 5
London Bees W 0
Peterborough W 0
Durham W 1
Crystal Palace W 5
Watford W 1
Blackburn W 0
Sunderland W 1
TBD -
Manchester United W -
AFC Wimbledon W 1
Gillingham W 0
Charlton W 3
Milton Keynes Dons W 1
Everton W -
TBD -
Birmingham W 4
Huddersfield W 0
Liverpool Feds W 2
West Brom W 3
TBD -
Brighton W -
Coventry United W 4
Stockport W 2
Hashtag W 3
Actonians W 0
Newcastle Utd W 1
Wolverhampton W 5
TBD -
West Ham W -
Aston Villa W -
TBD -
Solihull Moors W 2
AFC Fylde W 5
Bristol City W 2
Southampton FC W 0
Oxford Utd W 3
Plymouth W 0
Manchester City W -
TBD -
Sheffield Utd W 3
Nottingham W 0
Tottenham W -
TBD -
London City Lionesses W 1
Portsmouth W 0
Leicester W -
TBD -
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Reading W -
Chelsea W -
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Liverpool W -
Arsenal W -
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Leeds W 3
Stoke City LFC W 1
1/16-finals
Burnley W 1
Gwalia United W 4
Ipswich W 0
Lewes W 1
Durham W 3
Crystal Palace W 0
Sunderland W 1
Manchester United W 2
AFC Wimbledon W 1
Charlton W 5
Everton W 0
Birmingham W 1
West Brom W 0
Brighton W 7
Coventry United W 4
Hashtag W 0
Wolverhampton W 0
West Ham W 2
Aston Villa W 11
AFC Fylde W 0
Bristol City W 4
Oxford Utd W 0
Manchester City W 7
Sheffield Utd W 0
Tottenham W 5
London City Lionesses W 0
Leicester W 2
Reading W 3
Chelsea W 3
Liverpool W 2
Arsenal W 9
Leeds W 0
1/8-finals
Gwalia United W 1
Lewes W 6
Durham W 0
Manchester United W 5
Charlton W 0
Birmingham W 1
Brighton W 5
Coventry United W 0
West Ham W 1
Aston Villa W 2
Bristol City W 1
Manchester City W 8
Tottenham W 0
Reading W 1
Chelsea W 2
Arsenal W 0
Quarter-finals
Lewes W 1
Manchester United W 3
Birmingham W 0
Brighton W 2
Aston Villa W 2
Manchester City W 1
Reading W 1
Chelsea W 3
Semi-finals
Manchester United W 3
Brighton W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Chelsea W 1
Final
Manchester United W 0
Chelsea W 1