Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship U23 2018

Saudi Arabia U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Afghanistan U23 play Saudi Arabia U23 in the AFC Championship U23 2018. Saudi Arabia U23 are favorites here. Recently, Afghanistan U23 averaged 0.47 goals scored and 2.89 conceded. Saudi Arabia U23 averaged 1.95 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Afghanistan U23 won 0, Saudi Arabia U23 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 21, 2017 ended 0:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.27 for Afghanistan U23 and 1.77 for Saudi Arabia U23. This points to a Saudi Arabia U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Afghanistan U23

15%

Draws

65%

Saudi Arabia U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saudi Arabia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Afghanistan U23 picked up more points recently compared to Saudi Arabia U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.27 vs 1.77 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Afghanistan U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Afghanistan U23	Saudi Arabia U23
Matches Played	19	38
Wins	3	20
Draws	2	3
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	0.47	1.95
Goals Conceded	2.89	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	0.67	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.67	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23

Afghanistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:8

Mar 27, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23

Saudi Arabia U23 vs Afghanistan U23

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afghanistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.34

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Amri A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Al Aryani A.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afghanistan U23 20 / 100

Saudi Arabia U23 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Afghanistan U23 Saudi Arabia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia U23 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Saudi Arabia U23 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Afghanistan U23 attacking → ← attacking Saudi Arabia U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afghanistan U23 scored in 32% of their last 19 games.

Saudi Arabia U23 let in goals in 53% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Afghanistan U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Saudi Arabia U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 63

0.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Oman U23	2	2	0	7:1	6
2	Iran U23	2	1	1	2:3	3
3	Kyrgyzstan U23	2	0	2	2:7	0
4	Sri Lanka U23	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U23	3	3	0	12:1	9
2	Saudi Arabia U23	3	2	1	11:3	6
3	Bahrain U23	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Afghanistan U23	3	0	3	0:18	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar U23	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Syria U23	3	1	2	0	3:1	5
3	India U23	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Turkmenistan U23	3	0	1	2	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U23	3	3	0	7:1	9
2	United Arab Emirates U23	3	2	1	6:2	6
3	Lebanon U23	3	1	2	3:4	3
4	Nepal U23	3	0	3	0:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palestine U23	3	2	1	0	8:4	7
2	Jordan U23	3	2	0	1	11:3	6
3	Tajikistan U23	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Bangladesh U23	3	0	0	3	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U23	3	3	0	12:0	9
2	Myanmar U23	3	2	1	5:3	6
3	Singapore U23	3	1	2	4:10	3
4	Brunei U23	3	0	3	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U23	3	2	1	0	14:2	7
2	Hong Kong U23	3	1	2	0	6:2	5
3	Laos U23	3	1	1	1	4:8	4
4	Chinese Taipei U23	3	0	0	3	2:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malaysia U23	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
2	Thailand U23	3	1	2	0	4:1	5
3	Indonesia U23	3	1	1	1	7:3	4
4	Mongolia U23	3	0	1	2	1:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U23	3	2	1	0	12:1	7
2	Vietnam U23	3	2	0	1	13:3	6
3	Timor-Leste U23	3	1	1	1	7:5	4
4	Macau U23	3	0	0	3	2:25	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	China U23	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Japan U23	3	2	0	1	11:2	6
3	Cambodia U23	3	1	1	1	1:2	4
4	Philippines U23	3	0	0	3	0:11	0