Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afghanistan vs Syria

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al Ahsa
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Al Somah O.
42'
Arezou A.
50'
Hanifi M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Afghanistan
30%
Draws
39%
Syria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Syria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Syria lately — more wins on the board than Afghanistan.
  • Syria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Syria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Syria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Syria here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Afghanistan Clean Sheet 11%
Syria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afghanistan Syria
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.54 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Syria vs Afghanistan
5:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Afghanistan vs Syria
0:1
Oct 13, 2015 World Championship
Syria vs Afghanistan
5:2
Jun 11, 2015 World Championship
Afghanistan vs Syria
0:6
Oct 26, 2007 World Championship
Afghanistan vs Syria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afghanistan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Syria Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Somah O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afghanistan 14 / 100
Syria 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afghanistan Syria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Afghanistan scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Syria has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Afghanistan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afghanistan VS Syria
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afghanistan

(Home)
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
Page 1 of 6

Syria

(Away)
27 Sept
Jordan
1 : 1
Syria
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
11 Dec
Morocco
1 : 0
Syria
07 Dec
Syria
0 : 0
Palestine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)